Weekly Anticipation Index: 'Fame' and 'Surrogates'

Featured Stories - on August 01, 2009 by Phil Contrino

This September, Fame and Surrogates will try to make their mark at the box office.


This week, we've added two new films to our Anticipation Index. Fame and Surrogates are both set to open on September 25.

With one glance at the box office grosses for recent musicals such as Mamma Mia! —$601 million worldwide—and High School Musical 3: Senior Year —$250 million worldwide—it becomes quite clear that the genre is alive and well. While there is bound to be a musical that disappoints at the box office in the near future, Fame probably won't be the one. Considering that it's a remake, the MGM/UA release already comes with a well-established audience. Fame should post strong numbers during the slow months of September and October.

Surrogates star Bruce Willis is certainly not the box office draw that he once was. His last major hit came thanks to the fact that he returned for a fourth installment of the Die Hard franchise. Other than that, he's had one underwhelming opening after another. 2006's 16 Blocks started its domestic run with $11.9 million, while 2007's Perfect Stranger was able to debut with only $11.2 million. The fact that it has a promising, high-concept sci-fi premise may help Surrogates before slightly better than Blocks and Stranger.

Check out our predictions for these two new films as well as other upcoming releases in the table below.

Weekly Anticipation Index, August 1, 2009
Title Release Date Distributor Opening Weekend Cumulative
G.I. Joe: The Rise of Cobra August 7 Paramount $42M $105M
Julie & Julia August 7 Sony/Columbia $21M $77M
The Goods: Live Hard, Sell Hard August 14 Paramount Vantage $13M $40M
The Time Traveler's Wife August 14 Warner Bros./New Line $14M $43M
District 9 August 14 Sony $20M $60M
Shorts August 21 Warner Bros. $13M $42M
Inglourious Basterds August 21 The Weinstein Company $22M $57M
Halloween 2 August 28 The Weinstein Company $28M $62M
The Final Destination August 28 Warner Bros./New Line $19M $50M
Gamer September 4 Lionsgate $15M $35M
All About Steve September 4 Fox 2000 $27M $80M
9 September 9 Focus $14M $45M
Sorority Row September 11 Summit $15M $35M
Tyler Perry's I Can Do Bad All by Myself September 11 Lionsgate $36M $78M
Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs September 18 Sony/Columbia $17M $57M
Love Happens September 18 Focus $16M $48M
Jennifer's Body September 18 Fox Atomic $21M $50M
Fame September 25 MGM/UA $24M $60M
Surrogates September 25 Disney $16M $48M

Additional reporting by Daniel Garris.

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