Long Range Forecast: 'Green Lantern' and 'Mr. Popper's Penquins'

Featured Stories - on April 23, 2011 by Phil Contrino

forecastlanternpenquins.pngWe've added Green Lantern and Mr. Popper's Penquins to our Long Range Forecast this week. Both films are set to hit theaters on June 17.

Warner Bros. will be hoping that Green Lantern can launch another superhero franchise, but a lot depends on whether or not moviegoers are feeling some superhero fatigue. Four origin stories open this summer: Thor in May, Lantern and X-Men: First Class in June and Captain America: First Avenger in July. While there may be room for all of them, we're betting that the similarities will create a strong case of déjà vu for audiences.

Lantern
stars Ryan Reynolds and Blake Lively are both on their way to becoming major draws, but they might not be at the point yet where they can open a summer tentpole. We're sticking with a conservative forecast at this time.

Mr. Popper's Penquins will represent a big test for star Jim Carrey. The rubber-faced actor has been able to hang around for a while even as other comedic actors have been gunning for his audience. He might still be able to deliver a blockbuster, but he'll have to work a miracle with Penquins. The first trailer generated a weak amount of buzz on Facebook and Twitter.

The toughest factor that Penquins will face is that it opens a week before Cars 2, which is guaranteed to gobble up family crowds. If families decide to save their money for that Disney/Pixar sequel then Penquins could be in real trouble.

Check out our predictions for these films and others in the table below.

 

Title Release Date Distributor Opening Weekend Cumulative
Green Lantern Jun 17, 2011 Warner Bros.
$43,000,000 $120,000,000
Mr. Popper's Penguins Jun 17, 2011 Fox
$20,000,000 $65,000,000
Judy Moody And The Not Bummer Summer Jun 10, 2011 Relativity Media
$7,000,000 $23,000,000
Super 8 Jun 10, 2011 Paramount
$42,000,000 $135,000,000
X-Men: First Class Jun 3, 2011 Fox
$70,000,000 $155,000,000
The Hangover Part II May 26, 2011 Warner Bros.
$92,000,000 $245,000,000
Kung Fu Panda 2 May 26, 2011 Paramount / DreamWorks
$107,000,000 $320,000,000
Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides May 20, 2011 Disney
$105,000,000 $280,000,000
Bridesmaids May 13, 2011 Universal
$15,000,000 $45,000,000
Priest (2011) May 13, 2011 Sony / Screen Gems
$13,000,000 $31,000,000
Thor May 6, 2011 Paramount
$63,000,000 $180,000,000
Jumping The Broom May 6, 2011 Sony / TriStar
$11,000,000 $30,000,000
Fast Five Apr 29, 2011 Universal
$70,000,000 $145,000,000
Hoodwinked Too! Hood vs. Evil Apr 29, 2011 Weinstein Company
$9,000,000 $30,000,000
Prom Apr 29, 2011 Disney
$10,000,000 $27,000,000

Additional reporting by Daniel Garris and Alex Edghill.

Tags: Green Lantern, Mr. Popper's Penquins

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