Long Range Forecast: 'Captain America: The First Avenger' and 'Friends With Benefits'

Featured Stories - on May 28, 2011 by Phil Contrino

captainamericaforecast.pngWe've added Captain America: The First Avenger and Friends With Benefits to our Long Range Forecast this week. Both films are scheduled to open on July 22.

Captain America has one big advantage and one big disadvantage. The advantage is that it's a very recognizable property with a sizable built-in base. The disadvantage is that it'll be the fourth superhero origin story to open this summer. We're betting that moviegoers will be experiencing a bit of superhero fatigue after watching Thor, X-Men: First Class and Green Lantern. That may end up hindering Captain America's opening weekend at the very least.

Friends With Benefits has a great cast, but it will be hard for it to shake comparisons to No Strings Attached. Both films have pretty much the same plot and they are aimed at the same age group. As a result, our expectations are modest at this point.

Check out our predictions for these films as well as others in the table below.

 

Title Release Date Distributor Opening Weekend Cumulative
Friends With Benefits Jul 22, 2011 Sony / Screen Gems
$13,000,000 $40,000,000
Captain America: The First Avenger Jul 22, 2011 Paramount
$50,000,000 $150,000,000
Winnie the Pooh Jul 15, 2011 Disney
$8,000,000 $28,000,000
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part II Jul 15, 2011 Warner Bros.
$142,000,000 $330,000,000
Horrible Bosses Jul 8, 2011 Warner Bros. / New Line
$18,000,000 $58,000,000
Zookeeper Jul 8, 2011 Sony / Columbia
$33,000,000 $125,000,000
Monte Carlo Jul 1, 2011 Fox
$9,000,000* $22,000,000
Larry Crowne Jul 1, 2011 Universal
$22,000,000* $85,000,000
Transformers: Dark of the Moon Jun 29, 2011 Paramount / DreamWorks
$115,000,000* $360,000,000
Bad Teacher Jun 24, 2011 Sony / Columbia
$14,000,000 $45,000,000
Cars 2 Jun 24, 2011 Disney
$80,000,000 $305,000,000
Mr. Popper's Penguins Jun 17, 2011 Fox
$20,000,000 $65,000,000
Green Lantern Jun 17, 2011 Warner Bros.
$47,000,000 $125,000,000
Judy Moody And The Not Bummer Summer Jun 10, 2011 Relativity Media
$6,000,000 $20,000,000
Super 8 Jun 10, 2011 Paramount
$37,000,000 $120,000,000
X-Men: First Class Jun 3, 2011 Fox
$75,000,000 $180,000,000

*four-day weekend

Additional reporting by Daniel Garris and Alex Edghill.

Tags: Captain America: The First Avenger, Friends With Benefits

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