Long Range Forecast: 'Mission: Impossible - Ghost Protocol,' 'The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn,' 'The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo,' 'We Bought a Zoo,' 'War Horse' and 'The Darkest Hour'

Featured Stories - on October 29, 2011 by Phil Contrino

ghostprotocolforecast.pngWe've added six new films to the Long Range Forecast this week. Mission: Impossible - Ghost Protocol, The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn and The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo all open on December 21. We Bought A Zoo opens on December 23, and War Horse and The Darkest Hour are being held until Christmas Day. 

Ghost Protocol looks as though it will emerge as the most successful among this wave of additions. Even with Tom Cruise's staring power at diminished capacity, the franchise is still a solid earner. It also helps that the trailers have gone over quite well on Facebook and Twitter.

The end of the year is going to be a very busy time for Steven Spielberg. He directed both Tintin and War Horse. We're betting that Tintin will make more money, but if War Horse becomes a serious Oscar heavyweight the way that most pundits are predicting then the gap could end up being a lot smaller.

If anyone can bring The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo more mainstream acceptance it's David Fincher. The Oscar-nominated director pulled off a small miracle by making The Social Network into a near-$100 million domestic hit. Sony is putting a lot of marketing muscle behind Dragon Tattoo, so they must be confident.

We Bought a Zoo should be a sizable hit thanks to the support of families. It has everything: a tear-jerker plot, animals and cute, young kids. The main drawback is that Matt Damon isn't exactly a sure-thing at the box office. He's had more than his share of duds recently.

The Darkest Hour will have to fight for the scraps that fall off the table while other juggernaut releases are eating. It won't be pretty.

Check out our predictions for these films as well as others in the table below.

Title Release Date Distributor Weekend Gross
Cumulative
The Darkest Hour Dec 25, 2011 Summit
$2,000,000* $15,000,000
War Horse Dec 25, 2011 Disney / DreamWorks
$4,000,000* $70,000,000
We Bought a Zoo Dec 23, 2011 Fox
$9,000,000 $68,000,000
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo (2011) Dec 21, 2011 Sony / Columbia
$16,000,000 $90,000,000
Mission: Impossible - Ghost Protocol Dec 21, 2011 Paramount
$30,000,000 $165,000,000
The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn Dec 21, 2011 Paramount
$22,000,000 $155,000,000
Alvin and the Chipmunks: Chip-Wrecked Dec 16, 2011 Fox
$42,000,000 $180,000,000
Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows Dec 16, 2011 Warner Bros.
$75,000,000 $230,000,000
Young Adult Dec 9, 2011 Paramount
$7,000,000 $32,000,000
New Year's Eve Dec 9, 2011 Warner Bros. / New Line
$16,000,000 $75,000,000
The Sitter Dec 9, 2011 Fox
$12,000,000 $40,000,000
The Muppets Nov 23, 2011 Disney
$38,000,000 $130,000,000
Arthur Christmas Nov 23, 2011 Sony / Columbia
$12,000,000 $52,000,000
Hugo Nov 23, 2011 Paramount
$16,000,000 $50,000,000
The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn - Part 1 Nov 18, 2011 Summit
$155,000,000 $300,000,000
Happy Feet Two Nov 18, 2011 Warner Bros.
$39,000,000 $170,000,000
Jack and Jill Nov 11, 2011 Sony / Columbia
$21,000,000 $70,000,000
Immortals Nov 11, 2011 Relativity Media
$23,000,000 $60,000,000
J. Edgar Nov 9, 2011 Warner Bros.
$12,000,000 $50,000,000
A Very Harold & Kumar Christmas Nov 4, 2011 Warner Bros. / New Line
$12,000,000 $32,000,000
Tower Heist Nov 4, 2011 Universal
$33,000,000 $105,000,000

*opens on a Sunday

Additional reporting by Daniel Garris and Alex Edghill.

 

Tags: Mission: Impossble - Ghost Protocol, The Adventures of Tintin: The Secret of the Unicorn, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo, We Bought a Zoo, War Horse, The Darkest Hour

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