Weekend Predictions: 'Footloose,' 'The Thing' and 'The Big Year'
Featured Stories - on October 12, 2011 by Phil Contrino
A remake about dancing revolutionizing a small town is poised to fend off two other newcomers: a prequel to an '80's horror film and a comedy about bird watching.
With the help of a young, on-the-rise cast, Footloose should have no problem grabbing the attention of the fickle teenagers. Fans of the original may end up coming out mostly out of curiosity, but they won't represent a dominant portion of the opening weekend audience.
Footloose is killing Step Up 3D on Twitter—always a good sign for a film aimed at teens. Sign up for Boxoffice Pro in order to get full access to our Facebook and Twitter tracking.
As of 4 p.m. PT, Fandango is reporting that Footloose accounts for a respectable 5% of daily sales. It is being overshadowed by The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part I's dominant 28%.
Look for Footloose to manage $18 million from 3,300 locations during its debut frame.
The Thing is fighting an uphill battle, because it's highly likely that horror junkies are saving their money for Paranormal Activity 3 next weekend. With that said, die-hard fans of John Carpenter's 1982 flick of the same name will surely turn up on opening weekend. The Thing could also appeal to viewers who are already sick of the found-footage genre and therefore have no interest in PA3.
Fandango reports that The Thing has yet to crack the top five sellers list—never a good sign.
The Thing looks poised for $8.5 million from more than 2,900 locations.
The Big Year boasts a strong comedic triumvirate: Steve Martin, Owen Wilson and Jack Black. Unfortunately, there are a lot of recent duds among those three. Martin had The Pink Panther 2, Wilson had Hall Pass and Black had Gulliver's Travels. The Big Year doesn't look like it will fall in the success column for any of the actors. The weak marketing blitz has "dump" written all over it.
Fandango reports that The Big Year has yet to crack the top five sellers list.
Expect The Big Year to rake in $6.8 million from around 2,200 locations.
Check out the rest of our top 10 predictions in the table below.
|Title||Release Date||Distributor|| Weekend Gross ||Cumulative|
|Footloose (2011)||Oct 14, 2011||Paramount
|Real Steel||Oct 7, 2011||Disney / DreamWorks
|The Thing (2011)||Oct 14, 2011||Universal
|The Big Year||Oct 14, 2011||Fox
|The Ides of March||Oct 7, 2011||Sony / Columbia
|Dolphin Tale||Sep 23, 2011||Warner Bros.
|Moneyball||Sep 23, 2011||Sony / Columbia
|50/50||Sep 30, 2011||Summit
|Courageous||Sep 30, 2011||Sony / TriStar
|The Lion King 3D||Sep 16, 2011||Disney
Additional reporting by Daniel Garris and Alex Edghill.