Weekend Predictions: 'The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn - Part I' and 'Happy Feet Two'
Featured Stories - on November 16, 2011 by Phil Contrino
Summit's The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn - Part I is poised for a mammoth opening this weekend—but there's still room for Happy Feet 2 to collect plenty of cash from families.
Breaking Dawn - Part I will be bittersweet for Summit and fans of the franchise alike. For Summit, it represents the beginning of the end for a highly-lucrative property. For fans, the process of saying goodbye to beloved characters begins now. Breaking Dawn - Part I should help increase the franchise's popularity quite a bit as more holdouts finally give in to the hysteria that accompanies the end of a cultural sensation. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2 validated said phenomenon earlier this year.
Fandango reports that there are already more than 3,000 sold-out for Breaking Dawn - Part I, which bodes well for the film's chances of topping the $30 million midnight opening of Eclipse, its 2010 predecessor.
Breaking Dawn - Part I is far outpacing Eclipse on Twitter, and the official Twilight Saga Facebook page has added more than 18,000,000 new likes since Eclipse opened on June 30 last year. Subscribe to Boxoffice Pro for our full Facebook and Twitter tracking.
Look for The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn - Part I to collect $150 million from more than 4,061 locations. That will be enough to top the $142.8 million opening weekend of New Moon. Eclipse opened on a Wednesday and it made $120 million during its first three days.
Happy Feet Two hits theaters five years after its Oscar-winning predecessor. Warner Bros. is hoping that the property has enough steam left in it to allow for a sequel to match or even exceed the original's impressive $384.3 million worldwide haul. It doesn't look like they'll be disappointed. The animated flick will provide a welcome alternative for families with children who are too young for the Twilight films. Unfortunately, it Happy Feet Two will take quite a hit with the emergence of The Muppets, Arthur Christmas and Hugo next week.
Fandango reports that Happy Feet Two accounts for only 1% of daily sales as of 1 p.m. PT, but that's to be expected in the shadow of Breaking Dawn - Part I.
Expect Happy Feet Two to grab $42.5 million from more than 3,600 locations.
Check out the rest of our top 10 predictions in the table below.
|Title||Release Date||Distributor||Opening Weekend||Cumulative|
|The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn - Part 1||Nov 18, 2011||Summit
|Happy Feet Two||Nov 18, 2011||Warner Bros.
|Immortals||Nov 11, 2011||Relativity Media
|Puss in Boots (2011)||Oct 28, 2011||Paramount / DreamWorks
|Jack and Jill||Nov 11, 2011||Sony / Columbia
|Tower Heist||Nov 4, 2011||Universal
|J. Edgar||Nov 9, 2011||Warner Bros.
|A Very Harold & Kumar Christmas||Nov 4, 2011||Warner Bros. / New Line
|In Time||Oct 28, 2011||Fox
|The Descendants||Nov 16, 2011||Fox Searchlight
Additional reporting by Daniel Garris and Alex Edghill.