Long Range Forecast: 'Monsters University' & 'World War Z'
Featured Stories - on April 27, 2013 by BOXOFFICE Staff
This week, Pixar's Monsters University and Brad Pitt's World War Z have been added to our Long Range Forecast. Both are currently slated to open on Friday, June 21.
- Monsters, Inc. was a big hit back in 2001, when it grossed $255.87 million in its initial run (without adjusting for ticket price inflation).
- The film will have the added benefit of higher priced 3D admissions this time around.
- Pixar films have been consistently strong performers at the box office for years.
- After a relatively soft showing with Cars 2, Pixar rebounded last year with the performance of Brave.
- The limited number of family films during the first part of 2013 should help increase demand.
- Buzz out of the film's CinemaCon screening was solid.
- Twelve years is a very long time to wait in between films.
- Monsters, Inc. 3D didn't light the box office on fire this past winter.
- While Pixar hit it out of the park with Toy Story 3 in 2010, Cars 2 under-performed in 2011.
- The character of Boo (who isn't in the prequel) was a key component to the success of the original film.
- Could be more front-loaded than usual for a Pixar film, as a result of being a prequel and from opening just 12 days before the release of Universal's highly anticipated Despicable Me 2.
World War Z
- Brad Pitt typically delivers at the box office in high profile roles.
- There is a history of live-action alternatives being able to co-exist with high profile computer animated films in the summer (i.e., 2008's Wanted, 2011's Bad Teacher and last year's Prometheus).
- Being adapted from a pre-existing novel should help.
- With the zombie genre currently at a new zenith in entertainment, could this be for Pitt what I Am Legend and vampires were for Will Smith in 2007?
- Opening the week after Man of Steel could seriously limit potential, especially since the summer marketplace typically expands less in June than it does in July.
- Is likely to take a big hit from the one-two punch of The Heat and White House Down in its second weekend of release and as an action horror film is likely be front-loaded to begin with.
- Release delays may indicate some wavering confidence in its potential.
- The film has already been the target of some negative online buzz, including very modest Super Bowl spot reception.
Notable changes on our forecast this week include Iron Man 3 and Star Trek Into Darkness.
Check out our predictions for these and other upcoming films in the table below.
|Title||Release Date||Distributor||Opening Weekend||Cumulative|
|World War Z||Jun 21, 2013||Paramount
|Monsters University||Jun 21, 2013||Disney
|Man of Steel||Jun 14, 2013||Warner Bros.
|This Is The End||Jun 12, 2013||Sony / Columbia
|The Internship||Jun 7, 2013||Fox
|The Purge||Jun 7, 2013||Universal
|Now You See Me||May 31, 2013||Lionsgate / Summit
|After Earth||May 31, 2013||Sony / Columbia
|The Hangover Part III||May 24, 2013||Warner Bros.
|Epic||May 24, 2013||Fox
|Fast & Furious 6||May 24, 2013||Universal
|Star Trek Into Darkness||May 17, 2013||Paramount
|Tyler Perry Presents Peeples||May 10, 2013||Lionsgate
|The Great Gatsby (2013)||May 10, 2013||Warner Bros.
|Iron Man 3||May 3, 2013||Disney
* = 4-day weekend (Fri-Mon)
Phil Contrino, Daniel Garris, Alex Edghill, and Shawn Robbins contributed to this report.