Weekend Forecast: 'Frozen', 'Black Nativity', 'Homefront', & 'Oldboy'
Featured Stories - on November 26, 2013 by BoxOffice Staff
Audiences will pile into theaters this Thanksgiving weekend with newcomer Frozen leading a pack of new releases following Catching Fire's massive debut. Homefront, Black Nativity, and Spike Lee's remake of Oldboy also join the mix.
- Disney has a strong history of box office performances from animated titles over Thanksgiving weekend, recently including Tangled and Enchanted.
- Appealing to women of all ages has proven to be a successful strategy for the studio, as well as recent blockbusters.
- Early reviews have been very positive, adding to the film's potential.
- Any potential crossover between the female audience of this and Catching Fire could limit upfront sales compared to Tangled.
- Marketing hasn't highlighted the musical nature of the film, something that could put off young boys from the flick.
- Twitter and Facebook activity are improving, but had slow starts entering the week.
- The ensemble cast led by Forest Whitaker, Angela Bassett, Jennifer Hudson, and Tyrese Gibson.
- The story's holiday setting coincides with its release date very well.
- The breakout success of The Best Man Holiday likely cut off any chance this had of finding a large audience.
- Twitter, Facebook, and Flixster activity have been notably sluggish.
- Jason Statham carries a consistent fan base into most of his films. James Franco adds to the potential middle-America appeal
- The film provides counter-programming to the female-leaning films dominating the market.
- Statham's audience size is limited, as is Franco's box office appeal.
- Online activity has been modest at best.
- The original 2003 South Korean film has become something of a modern cult classic.
- Josh Brolin and Samuel L. Jackson bring some needed star appeal.
- The original film isn't well known outside of its niche fan base.
- The limited opening in 583 locations.
- Neither Brolin nor Jackson have shown a consistent ability to deliver strong box office numbers on their own.
- Director Spike Lee is known for polarizing audiences.
Check out our forecast for this 3-day weekend's top 13 in the table below.
|Title||Release Date||Distributor||Weekend Gross||Domestic Total through Sunday, December 1|
|The Hunger Games: Catching Fire||Nov 22, 2013||Lionsgate
|Frozen (2013)||Nov 22, 2013||Disney
|Thor: The Dark World||Nov 8, 2013||Disney
|The Best Man Holiday||Nov 15, 2013||Universal
|Black Nativity||Nov 27, 2013||Fox Searchlight
|Homefront||Nov 27, 2013||Open Road
|Delivery Man||Nov 22, 2013||Disney / DreamWorks
|Last Vegas||Nov 1, 2013||CBS Films
|Free Birds||Nov 1, 2013||Relativity Media
|The Book Thief||Nov 8, 2013||Fox
|Philomena||Nov 22, 2013||Weinstein Company
|Gravity||Oct 4, 2013||Warner Bros.
|Oldboy (2013)||Nov 27, 2013||FilmDistrict
Phil Contrino, Daniel Garris, Alex Edghill, and Shawn Robbins contributed to this report.