Long Range Forecast: 'Edge of Tomorrow'

Featured Stories - on April 11, 2014 by BoxOffice Staff

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Tom Cruise is back in sci-fi mode with Edge of Tomorrow, a new film from director Doug Liman (The Bourne Identity, Mr. & Mrs. Smith) that Warner Bros. will send out on June 16. Cruise's track record as of late has been hit and miss. Will Edge of Tomorrow connect during a crowded summer season or will it be another disappointment for Cruise? This week BoxOffice takes a closer look at the commercial prospects for Edge of Tomorrow. 

Edge of Tomorrow
(Warner Bros.)

PROS:

- Even though he's had his share of misses lately, Tom Cruise remains one of the most recognizable stars in the world and he's capable of having a hit at any time.
- The film's romantic angle could help entice key female demos.
- We're betting that the Groundhog's Day-style premise combined with an alien invasion will intrigue a lot of sci-fi enthusiasts. 

CONS: 

- May is going to be full of such massive hits that there may not be room for Edge of Tomorrow to find its audience.
- 2013's Oblivion--Cruise's last foray into sci-fi--posted an underwhelming $89 million domestic haul. That doesn't bode well for Edge of Tomorrow's chances.

Check out our prediction for Edge of Tomorrow and other films in the table below. Key changes this week include Heaven Is For Real (up), Transcendence (down), Bears (down) and Brick Mansions (up). 

Title Release Date Distributor Opening Weekend Cumulative
Edge of Tomorrow Jun 6, 2014 Warner Bros.
 $33,000,000 $93,000,000
The Fault in Our Stars Jun 6, 2014 Fox
 $29,000,000 $88,000,000
A Million Ways to Die in the West May 30, 2014 Universal
 $27,000,000 $73,000,000
Maleficent May 30, 2014 Disney
 $61,000,000 $191,000,000
Blended May 23, 2014 Warner Bros.
 $24,000,000** $56,000,000
X-Men: Days of Future Past May 23, 2014 Fox
 $103,000,000** $221,000,000
Million Dollar Arm May 16, 2014 Disney
 $15,000,000 $60,000,000
Godzilla (2014) May 16, 2014 Warner Bros.
 $75,000,000 $235,000,000
Moms' Night Out May 9, 2014 Sony / AFFIRM
 $6,000,000 $14,000,000
Legends of Oz: Dorothy's Return May 9, 2014 Clarius Entertainment
 $4,000,000 $11,000,000
Neighbors (2014) May 9, 2014 Universal
 $34,000,000 $126,000,000
The Amazing Spider-Man 2 May 2, 2014 Sony / Columbia
 $112,000,000 $265,000,000
The Other Woman (2014) Apr 25, 2014 Fox
 $18,000,000 $52,000,000
The Quiet Ones Apr 25, 2014 Lionsgate
 $9,000,000 $22,000,000
Brick Mansions Apr 25, 2014 Relativity Media
 $8,000,000 $18,000,000
Bears Apr 18, 2014 Disneynature
 $6,000,000 $19,000,000
A Haunted House 2 Apr 18, 2014 Open Road
 $14,000,000 $32,000,000
Transcendence Apr 18, 2014 Warner Bros.
 $21,000,000 $61,000,000
Heaven Is For Real Apr 16, 2014 Sony
 $13,000,000* $42,000,000

*3-day weekend
**4-day weekend 

Phil Contrino, Daniel Garris and Shawn Robbins contributed to this report.

Tags: predictions, Edge of Tomorrow

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