Long Range Forecast: 'The Hobbit: Battle of Five Armies'

Featured Stories - on October 25, 2014 by BoxOffice Staff

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The final film of the Lord of the Rings trilogy opens in the midst of a typically crowded Fall season. Will fans come out in droves for one last trip to Middle Earth or will the hobbits be overshadowed by other tentpole releases? This week BoxOffice takes a closer look at the commercial prospects for the Warner Bros./New Line release.

The Hobbit: The Battle of Five Armies
(Warner Bros./New Line)

PROS:

- At this point the fan base is well established and a certain turnout can be expected. 
- Last films tend to be very successful.
- The last Lord of the Rings film was well received and that goodwill is bound to carry over.

CONS:

- If Exodus: Gods and Kings overperforms it could end up hurting The Battle of Five Armies.
- There are some strong films aimed at adults opening in late December and that could stifle the film's staying power.

Title Release Date Distributor Opening Weekend Cumulative
Night at the Museum: Secret of the Tomb Dec 19, 2014 Fox
$25,000,000 $110,000,000
Annie (2014) Dec 19, 2014 Sony / Columbia
$19,000,000 $100,000,000
The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies Dec 17, 2014 Warner Bros. / New Line
$68,000,000 $297,000,000
Exodus: Gods and Kings Dec 12, 2014 Fox
$32,000,000 $111,000,000
Top Five Dec 5, 2014 Paramount
$10,500,000 $29,000,000
The Pyramid Dec 5, 2014 Fox
$7,000,000 $16,000,000
Penguins of Madagascar Nov 26, 2014 Fox / DreamWorks Animation
$39,000,000* $145,000,000
Horrible Bosses 2 Nov 26, 2014 Warner Bros. / New Line
$32,000,000* $107,000,000
The Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 1 Nov 21, 2014 Lionsgate
$155,000,000 $393,000,000
Beyond the Lights Nov 14, 2014 Relativity Media
$9,000,000 $20,000,000
Dumb and Dumber To Nov 14, 2014 Universal
$37,000,000 $93,000,000
Big Hero 6 Nov 7, 2014 Disney
$51,000,000 $200,000,000
Interstellar Nov 5, 2014 Paramount
$76,000,000 $340,000,000
Saw (2014 re-issue) Oct 31, 2014 Lionsgate
$5,000,000 $9,000,000
Nightcrawler Oct 31, 2014 Open Road
$11,000,000 $33,000,000

 *3-day weekend

Phil Contrino, Daniel Garris, Alex Edghill and Shawn Robbins contributed to this report.  

Tags: The Hobbit: Battle of Five Armies, predictions

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