Weekend Forecast: 'Sinister 2', 'American Ultra', & 'Hitman: Agent 47'

Featured Stories - on August 19, 2015 by BoxOffice Staff

aug21pred.pngThree new wide releases hit theaters this weekend, but will any of them be able to unseat Straight Outta Compton from the top spot?

Sinister 2

PROS:

- The original film was a solid mid-level horror hit in October 2012, earning $48 million domestically.
- With little in the way of horror breakouts so far in 2015, fans of the genre could turn out for this sequel.
- Lifetime Flixster votes are ahead of Insidious Chapter 3 and Annabelle.

CONS:

- It's questionable whether or not the original had enough fans to warrant high box office expectations for a sequel.
- Competition from Straight Outta Compton's holding power will be a factor.
- In general, social media activity is very modest with recent growth trending behind comparable titles on Facebook, Flixster, and Twitter. 

American Ultra

PROS:

- Jesse Eisenberg and Kristen Stewart give the stoner comedy some name/face recognition for young adult fans.
- Twitter and Facebook activity have steadily picked up in recent weeks.

CONS:

- With just over 7,600 Flixster votes and 112,000 Facebook fans, buzz is certifiably minimal.
- Reviews are heading south ahead of release, which will narrow its already limited target audience.

Hitman: Agent 47

PROS: 

- Flixster and Facebook activity are fairly solid.
- Boasting Zachary Quinto as a supporting actor can't hurt given his genre popularity through Star Trek and Heroes.

CONS:

- The first film was a $40 million domestic dud back in 2007. Is there really anyone clamoring to see a sequel?
- Twitter buzz leaves much to be desired.

Top 10 Forecast

BoxOffice projects this weekend's top ten will score close to $97.8 million. That would mark less than a 1 percent improvement from the same frame last year which tallied $97.2 million and saw Guardians of the Galaxy and Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles again lead the top two spots ahead of three newcomers.

Check out our complete weekend forecast in the table below.

Title Release Date Distributor Weekend Domestic Total through Sunday, August 23
Straight Outta Compton Aug 14, 2015 Universal
$32,500,000 $117,200,000
Sinister 2 Aug 21, 2015 Focus / Gramercy
$14,500,000 $14,500,000
Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation Jul 31, 2015 Paramount
$11,500,000 $157,300,000
American Ultra Aug 21, 2015 Lionsgate
$9,000,000 $9,000,000
Hitman: Agent 47 Aug 21, 2015 Fox
$8,000,000 $8,000,000
The Man from U.N.C.L.E. Aug 14, 2015 Warner Bros.
$7,000,000 $26,200,000
The Gift (2015) Aug 7, 2015 STX Entertainment
$4,000,000 $30,700,000
Fantastic Four (2015) Aug 7, 2015 Fox
$3,900,000 $49,900,000
Ant-Man Jul 17, 2015 Disney
$3,800,000 $164,200,000
Minions Jul 10, 2015 Universal
$3,600,000 $319,600,000
Ricki and the Flash Aug 7, 2015 Sony / TriStar
$3,100,000 $20,300,000
Vacation (2015) Jul 29, 2015 Warner Bros. / New Line
$3,000,000 $52,100,000

Phil Contrino, Daniel Garris, Alex Edghill, and Shawn Robbins contributed to this report.

Tags: predictions, Sinister 2, American Ultra, Hitman: Agent 47

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