Long Range Forecast: 'Ride Along 2' & '13 Hours'

Featured Stories - on November 20, 2015 by BoxOffice Staff

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Ice Cube and Kevin Hart return in Universal's Ride Along 2, which will be released over the Martin Luther King Jr. holiday weekend. BoxOffice expects Ride Along 2 to follow in its predecessor's footsteps in route to a strong performance.

Paramount's 13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi will also be released over the MLK holiday weekend. While BoxOffice sees 13 Hours having a presence at the box office, we don't expect the Michael Bay directed action thriller to break out.

Ride Along 2 (Universal)

PROS:

- Ride Along opened with a $48.6 million four-day take over Martin Luther King Jr. weekend back in 2014 and displayed healthy holding power throughout its run.

- With the success of Straight Outta Compton earlier this year, Ice Cube's popularity is even higher than it was when Ride Along was released.

- Early Twitter activity for the film has tended to trend very positive.

CONS:

- Kevin Hart hasn't been able to duplicate the break-out success of Ride Along with follow ups such as About Last Night, Think Like a Man Too and The Wedding Ringer since then.

- As a sequel, it is unlikely holding power for Ride Along 2 will be as strong as it was for its predecessor.

13 Hours (Paramount)

PROS:

- Similarly themed films such as Zero Dark Thirty, Lone Survivor and American Sniper have all excelled in recent years during the month of January.

- Michael Bay's following should provide at least a minor boost to the film's potential.

- The film is generating very steady activity on Twitter thus far, though a sizable percentage of that activity has been negative in tone.

CONS:

- Audiences, regardless of politics, may not want to relive the 2012 Benghazi attack, especially after a relatively short amount of time.

- The film won't have the awards season prestige that Zero Dark Thirty and American Sniper both had.

- In addition to Ride Along 2, the film will also face significant competition from holdovers such as The Hateful EightThe Revenant, and Star Wars: The Force Awakens.

Check out our complete long range forecast in the table below.

 

Title Release Date Distributor Opening Weekend Cumulative
Ride Along 2 Jan 15, 2016 Universal $50,000,000* $118,000,000
13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi Jan 15, 2016 Paramount $22,000,000* $60,000,000
The 5th Wave Jan 15, 2016 Sony / Columbia $16,000,000* $37,000,000
Norm of the North Jan 15, 2016 Lionsgate $13,000,000* $35,000,000
The Hateful Eight Jan 8, 2016 Weinstein Company $30,000,000 $110,000,000
The Revenant (2015) Jan 8, 2016 Fox $21,000,000 $90,000,000
The Forest Jan 8, 2016 Focus / Gramercy $9,000,000 $19,000,000
Joy Dec 25, 2015 Fox $20,000,000 $105,000,000
Daddy's Home Dec 25, 2015 Paramount $15,000,000 $70,000,000
Concussion (2015) Dec 25, 2015 Sony / Columbia $11,000,000 $55,000,000
Point Break (2015) Dec 25, 2015 Warner Bros. $10,000,000 $44,000,000
The Big Short Dec 23, 2015 Paramount $12,000,000 $65,000,000
Star Wars: The Force Awakens Dec 18, 2015 Disney $215,000,000 $762,000,000
Sisters Dec 18, 2015 Universal $11,000,000 $65,000,000
Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Road Chip Dec 18, 2015 Fox $10,000,000 $66,000,000
In the Heart of the Sea Dec 11, 2015 Warner Bros. $19,000,000 $64,000,000
Krampus Dec 4, 2015 Universal $10,000,000 $29,000,000
The Good Dinosaur Nov 25, 2015 Disney $59,000,000 $250,000,000
Creed Nov 25, 2015 Warner Bros. / New Line $24,000,000 $83,000,000
Victor Frankenstein Nov 25, 2015 Fox $11,500,000 $34,000,000

* Indicates a four-day weekend.

Daniel Garris and Shawn Robbins contributed to this report.

Tags: 13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi, Ride Along 2, predictions

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