Weekend Estimates: 'The Boss' ($23.48M) & 'Batman v Superman' ($23.44M) in Tight Race for First Place; 'Hardcore Henry' ($5.10M) Arrives SoftlyApril 10, 2016 09:42 AM

by Daniel Garris

It was an extremely close race between Universal's The Boss and Warner's Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice for first place this weekend. The Boss is currently estimated to come out ahead with $23.48 million, but with an estimated lead of only $45,000, either film could ultimately end up in first place this weekend.

Regardless of whether or not it ends up in first place this weekend, The Boss outpaced expectations and performed well with its modest price tag in mind. The Melissa McCarthy led R-rated comedy also proved to be critic-proof this weekend. The film's opening weekend performance was 9 percent ahead of the $21.58 million opening weekend of 2014's Tammy (though it should be noted that Tammy's opening weekend take was softened by a Wednesday debut) and 19 percent below the $29.09 million debut of last year's Spy (it should be noted that The Boss had been widely expected to open below Spy). With this weekend's performance of The Boss, McCarthy continues to remain one of the more consistent box office draws in recent years. McCarthy will next appear in Sony's Ghostbusters, which arrives on July 15.

The Boss started out with $8.11 million on Friday (which included an estimated $985,000 from Thursday night shows), increased a healthy 20 percent on Saturday to take in $9.73 million and is estimated to decline 42 percent on Sunday to gross $5.64 million. That gave the film an estimated opening weekend to Friday ratio of 2.90 to 1. The Boss skewed heavily toward female moviegoers (67 percent) and slightly towards moviegoers under the age of 35 (51 percent). Audience reception to The Boss appears to be lackluster as the film received a C+ rating on CinemaScore and current has a Flixster audience score of just 50 percent. With that in mind, it's quite possible that The Boss won't hold up as well going forward as McCarthy's previous hits have. On the other hand, the film's mentioned strong Saturday hold is an early encouraging sign.

After leading the box office for the past two weeks Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice fell to a close second place this weekend with an estimated $23.44 million. The blockbuster 3D superhero film starring Ben Affleck and Henry Cavill continued to fall off sharply, as the film was down 54 percent from last weekend. Batman v Superman is now on the verge of reaching the $300 million domestic mark with a 17-day take of $296.69 million. However, as a result of its soft holding power thus far, Batman v Superman is now running just 1 percent ahead of the $294.51 million 17-day take of last year's Furious 7 (which fell 51 percent in its third weekend to gross $29.16 million). With that in mind, Batman v Superman will soon fall behind the pace of Furious 7, especially with Disney's highly anticipated The Jungle Book entering the marketplace this coming Friday.

While Batman v Superman continued to decline sharply this weekend, Disney's Zootopia continued to display strong holding power with an estimated third place take of $14.35 million. The blockbuster 3D computer animated film was down just 26 percent from last weekend. Without taking into account ticket price inflation, Zootopia registered the eighth largest sixth weekend gross of all-time. Zootopia is also on the verge of reaching the $300 million domestic mark with a 38-day take of $296.01 million. The film is now running just 8 percent behind the $320.39 million 38-day take of last year's Inside Out and will continue to make up ground in that comparison going forward. Zootopia already has a current total gross to opening weekend ratio of 3.94 to 1.

Universal's My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 placed in fourth with an estimated $6.42 million. The PG-13 rated comedy sequel starring and written by Nia Vardalos was down 43 percent, as the film took a hit from the debut The Boss this weekend. My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 continues to perform towards the higher end of expectations with a 17-day take of $46.75 million. That places the film 6 percent behind the $49.59 million 17-day gross of last year's The Intern (which fell just 26 percent in its third weekend to take in $8.68 million). My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 will hope to re-stabilize next weekend with the debut of The Boss behind it.

Hardcore Henry rounded out the weekend's top five with an estimated $5.10 million. The low-budget action film from STX Entertainment opened below pre-release expectations and delivered a lackluster per-location average of $1,690 from just 3,015 locations. The trailer for Hardcore Henry had gone over well, especially online, but that reception ultimately failed to get moviegoers to see the film this weekend. Hardcore Henry delivered the lowest debut for STX Entertainment to date in the distributor's young history. The film opened with $2.01 million on Friday (which included an estimated $380,000 from Thursday night shows), declined a concerning 7 percent on Saturday to gross $1.87 million and is estimated to slide 35 percent on Sunday to take in $1.22 million. That places the film's estimated opening weekend to Friday ratio at a fairly front-loaded 2.54 to 1. Much like The Boss, Hardcore Henry doesn't appear to be going over all that well with moviegoers. Hardcore Henry also received a C+ rating on CinemaScore and has a respectable current Flixster audience score of 66 percent.

Faith-based films Miracles from Heaven and God's Not Dead 2 claimed sixth and seventh place with respective estimated takes of $4.80 million and $4.05 million. Sony's Miracles from Heaven was down a very solid 34 percent this weekend, while God's Not Dead 2 was down a sizable 47 percent. Miracles from Heaven passed the $50 million mark this weekend and continues to perform nicely with $53.81 million in 26 days. God's Not Dead 2 has been far less impressive with $13.84 million in ten days and clearly isn't duplicating the word of mouth or the performance of its predecessor, 2014's God's Not Dead, which grossed $21.75 million in its first ten days after falling just 4.5 percent in its second weekend to take in $8.80 million.

Weekend Actuals (Domestic) Fri, Jan. 16 - Sun, Jan. 18

Wide (1000+)

1American Sniper$89,269,06615304%3,5553551$25,111$92,693,8444Warner Bros.
2The Wedding Ringer$20,649,306--3,003--$6,876$20,649,3061Sony / Screen Gems
3Paddington$18,966,676--3,303--$5,742$18,966,6761Weinstein / Dimension
4Taken 3$14,715,818-62%3,5940$4,095$63,502,7352Fox
6The Imitation Game$6,801,166-6%1,61145$4,222$50,407,4748Weinstein Company
7Into the Woods$6,774,343-29%2,758-75$2,456$114,528,0124Disney
8The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies$4,904,695-48%2,220-1182$2,209$244,581,8105Warner Bros. / New Line
11Night at the Museum: Secret of the Tomb$3,838,879-43%2,437-934$1,575$104,786,9855Fox
12Annie (2014)$1,991,145-58%1,585-1271$1,256$82,171,1575Sony / Columbia
13The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 1$1,872,802-50%1,221-842$1,534$332,516,4419Lionsgate
14The Woman In Black 2: Angel of Death$1,681,276-64%1,392-1210$1,208$24,868,8493Relativity Media

Limited (100 — 999)

1Birdman$1,543,643162%471243$3,277$28,269,63614Fox Searchlight
2Wild (2014)$1,449,692-46%764-522$1,898$33,005,1457Fox Searchlight
3Spare Parts$1,335,768--440--$3,036$1,335,7681Lionsgate / Pantelion
4Inherent Vice$1,130,388-59%6538$1,731$6,446,3326Warner Bros
5Big Hero 6$1,074,031-53%739-841$1,453$216,092,56111Disney
6The Theory of Everything$971,39944%509101$1,908$27,289,34511Focus
7I (2015)$771,312--222--$3,474$1,388,5661Aascar Film
9Big Eyes$534,991-57%587-457$911$13,464,8014Weinstein Company
10Penguins of Madagascar$519,206-56%417-640$1,245$80,589,4548Fox / DreamWorks Animation
11The Gambler$223,686-90%415-1706$539$33,414,0864Paramount
12Exodus: Gods and Kings$214,944-81%245-897$877$64,259,9746Fox
13Horrible Bosses 2$176,637-50%285-90$620$54,086,8568Warner Bros. / New Line
14Gone Girl$173,774-31%186-67$934$167,412,28416Fox
15Alexander and the Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad Day$145,696-20%173-35$842$66,474,29215Disney
16Dumb and Dumber To$135,545-25%176-68$770$85,850,12510Universal
17The Interview (2014)$100,095-76%163-329$614$6,018,1294Sony / Columbia
18St. Vincent$80,140-27%104-99$771$43,817,18015Weinstein Company
19Fury (2014)$51,795-53%103-85$503$85,807,38814Sony / Columbia
20Nightcrawler$45,255-32%10530$431$32,177,63112Open Road

Platform (1 — 99)

1Ode to My Father$313,8073%33-5$9,509$1,049,2654CJ Entertainment
2A Most Violent Year$282,547142%3935$7,245$774,1283A24
3Still Alice$212,432--12--$17,703$282,3321Sony Pictures Classics
4Top Five$135,558-75%83-553$1,633$25,203,8116Paramount
5PK (2014)$102,534-60%45-60$2,279$10,498,6055UTV Motion Pictures
6The Book of Life (2014)$100,839-18%96-26$1,050$49,864,94914Fox
7Journey to the South Pacific$49,71862%16-1$3,107$5,479,63960IMAX / MacGillivray Freeman
8The Boxtrolls$48,078-5%87-27$553$50,746,75617Focus
10Hubble 3D$39,8872%162$2,493$47,242,665253Warner Bros. / IMAX
11The Maze Runner$32,174-47%60-35$536$102,381,11618Fox
12Force Majeure$25,069-43%37-2$678$1,270,01113Magnolia Pictures
13Island of Lemurs: Madagascar$24,71146%350$706$8,543,08442Warner Bros. / IMAX
14The Taking of Tiger Mountain$24,595-68%6-7$4,099$204,7653Well Go USA
15Song of the Sea$24,582-15%41$6,146$132,4435GKIDS
16Guardians of the Galaxy$21,729-57%65-60$334$333,166,88325Disney
17Beyond the Lights$21,360642%5738$375$14,595,20110Relativity Media
18The Tale of The Princess Kaguya$20,716427%104$2,072$619,07014GKIDS
19Tevar$19,572-89%0-127--$234,2072Eros International
20The Homesman$18,901-49%24-26$788$2,377,28210Roadside Attractions
21Human Capital$17,324--6--$2,887$19,9891Film Movement
22John Wick$15,591-57%51-55$306$43,029,92513Lionsgate / Summit
23The Pyramid$11,321-24%231$492$2,738,5907Fox
24Zero Motivation$10,054580%63$1,676$90,5507Zeitgeist Films
25Little Accidents$8,649--17--$509$8,6491Amplify
26Dear White People$7,70220%80$963$4,398,73614Roadside Attractions
27Six Dance Lessons in Six Weeks$6,112--3--$2,037$44,3746Dada Films
28Beloved Sisters$5,748-71%4-5$1,437$33,1322Music Box Films
29Under the Sea 3D$4,342103%51$868$34,414,051310Warner Bros. / IMAX
30She's Beautiful When She's Angry$3,58912%2-2$1,795$60,5097International Film Circuit
31To the Arctic 3D$2,990-5%2-1$1,495$14,295,532144Warner Bros. / IMAX
32Born to Be Wild 3D$2,9791003%31$993$23,876,791198Warner Bros. / IMAX
33Awake: The Life of Yogananda$2,567-50%30$856$1,113,46115CounterPoint Films
34Three Night Stand$2,538--10--$254$2,5381Freestyle Releasing
35Love on the Cloud$2,330-71%2-2$1,165$269,7534China Lion Film
36The Overnighters$1,764-21%3-4$588$106,68915Drafthouse Films
37Why Don't You Play in Hell?$1,584--1--$1,584$21,50211Drafthouse Films
38Diplomacy$967-77%2-1$484$228,91814Zeitgeist Films
39Antarctica: A Year on Ice$652-85%5-4$130$252,7918Music Box Films
40A Tale of Winter (2014 re-issue)$625-71%1-2$625$19,0295Big World Pictures
41If You Don't, I Will$305--1--$305$9,5145Film Movement
42Two-Bit Waltz$13-93%1-1$13$2,06413Monterey Media