Weekend Estimates: 'The Boss' ($23.48M) & 'Batman v Superman' ($23.44M) in Tight Race for First Place; 'Hardcore Henry' ($5.10M) Arrives SoftlyApril 10, 2016 09:42 AM

by Daniel Garris

It was an extremely close race between Universal's The Boss and Warner's Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice for first place this weekend. The Boss is currently estimated to come out ahead with $23.48 million, but with an estimated lead of only $45,000, either film could ultimately end up in first place this weekend.

Regardless of whether or not it ends up in first place this weekend, The Boss outpaced expectations and performed well with its modest price tag in mind. The Melissa McCarthy led R-rated comedy also proved to be critic-proof this weekend. The film's opening weekend performance was 9 percent ahead of the $21.58 million opening weekend of 2014's Tammy (though it should be noted that Tammy's opening weekend take was softened by a Wednesday debut) and 19 percent below the $29.09 million debut of last year's Spy (it should be noted that The Boss had been widely expected to open below Spy). With this weekend's performance of The Boss, McCarthy continues to remain one of the more consistent box office draws in recent years. McCarthy will next appear in Sony's Ghostbusters, which arrives on July 15.

The Boss started out with $8.11 million on Friday (which included an estimated $985,000 from Thursday night shows), increased a healthy 20 percent on Saturday to take in $9.73 million and is estimated to decline 42 percent on Sunday to gross $5.64 million. That gave the film an estimated opening weekend to Friday ratio of 2.90 to 1. The Boss skewed heavily toward female moviegoers (67 percent) and slightly towards moviegoers under the age of 35 (51 percent). Audience reception to The Boss appears to be lackluster as the film received a C+ rating on CinemaScore and current has a Flixster audience score of just 50 percent. With that in mind, it's quite possible that The Boss won't hold up as well going forward as McCarthy's previous hits have. On the other hand, the film's mentioned strong Saturday hold is an early encouraging sign.

After leading the box office for the past two weeks Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice fell to a close second place this weekend with an estimated $23.44 million. The blockbuster 3D superhero film starring Ben Affleck and Henry Cavill continued to fall off sharply, as the film was down 54 percent from last weekend. Batman v Superman is now on the verge of reaching the $300 million domestic mark with a 17-day take of $296.69 million. However, as a result of its soft holding power thus far, Batman v Superman is now running just 1 percent ahead of the $294.51 million 17-day take of last year's Furious 7 (which fell 51 percent in its third weekend to gross $29.16 million). With that in mind, Batman v Superman will soon fall behind the pace of Furious 7, especially with Disney's highly anticipated The Jungle Book entering the marketplace this coming Friday.

While Batman v Superman continued to decline sharply this weekend, Disney's Zootopia continued to display strong holding power with an estimated third place take of $14.35 million. The blockbuster 3D computer animated film was down just 26 percent from last weekend. Without taking into account ticket price inflation, Zootopia registered the eighth largest sixth weekend gross of all-time. Zootopia is also on the verge of reaching the $300 million domestic mark with a 38-day take of $296.01 million. The film is now running just 8 percent behind the $320.39 million 38-day take of last year's Inside Out and will continue to make up ground in that comparison going forward. Zootopia already has a current total gross to opening weekend ratio of 3.94 to 1.

Universal's My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 placed in fourth with an estimated $6.42 million. The PG-13 rated comedy sequel starring and written by Nia Vardalos was down 43 percent, as the film took a hit from the debut The Boss this weekend. My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 continues to perform towards the higher end of expectations with a 17-day take of $46.75 million. That places the film 6 percent behind the $49.59 million 17-day gross of last year's The Intern (which fell just 26 percent in its third weekend to take in $8.68 million). My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 will hope to re-stabilize next weekend with the debut of The Boss behind it.

Hardcore Henry rounded out the weekend's top five with an estimated $5.10 million. The low-budget action film from STX Entertainment opened below pre-release expectations and delivered a lackluster per-location average of $1,690 from just 3,015 locations. The trailer for Hardcore Henry had gone over well, especially online, but that reception ultimately failed to get moviegoers to see the film this weekend. Hardcore Henry delivered the lowest debut for STX Entertainment to date in the distributor's young history. The film opened with $2.01 million on Friday (which included an estimated $380,000 from Thursday night shows), declined a concerning 7 percent on Saturday to gross $1.87 million and is estimated to slide 35 percent on Sunday to take in $1.22 million. That places the film's estimated opening weekend to Friday ratio at a fairly front-loaded 2.54 to 1. Much like The Boss, Hardcore Henry doesn't appear to be going over all that well with moviegoers. Hardcore Henry also received a C+ rating on CinemaScore and has a respectable current Flixster audience score of 66 percent.

Faith-based films Miracles from Heaven and God's Not Dead 2 claimed sixth and seventh place with respective estimated takes of $4.80 million and $4.05 million. Sony's Miracles from Heaven was down a very solid 34 percent this weekend, while God's Not Dead 2 was down a sizable 47 percent. Miracles from Heaven passed the $50 million mark this weekend and continues to perform nicely with $53.81 million in 26 days. God's Not Dead 2 has been far less impressive with $13.84 million in ten days and clearly isn't duplicating the word of mouth or the performance of its predecessor, 2014's God's Not Dead, which grossed $21.75 million in its first ten days after falling just 4.5 percent in its second weekend to take in $8.80 million.

Weekend Actuals (Domestic) Fri, Mar. 4 - Sun, Mar. 6

Wide (1000+)

2London Has Fallen$21,635,601--3,490--$6,199$21,635,6011Focus / Gramercy
4Whiskey Tango Foxtrot$7,450,275--2,374--$3,138$7,450,2751Paramount
5Gods of Egypt$5,198,091-63%3,1170$1,668$23,046,4112Lionsgate / Summit
6Risen$3,906,484-43%2,507-408$1,558$28,672,4073Sony / Columbia
7Kung Fu Panda 3$3,572,683-60%2,700-596$1,323$133,879,5166Fox / DreamWorks Animation
8The Revenant (2015)$3,402,675-14%1,488-157$2,287$176,054,59611Fox
9Eddie the Eagle$3,128,815-49%2,0442$1,531$10,889,9472Fox
10The Witch$2,485,035-51%1,715-489$1,449$20,895,6093A24
11Triple 9$2,263,668-63%2,2050$1,027$10,374,7022Open Road
12How to Be Single$2,117,076-58%1,602-1445$1,322$43,320,5414Warner Bros. / New Line
13Star Wars: The Force Awakens$1,864,704-38%1,021-412$1,826$928,842,21912Disney
14Spotlight$1,766,212140%1,227542$1,439$41,562,35118Open Road
15Race (2016)$1,511,530-63%1,286-1101$1,175$16,511,0933Focus

Limited (100 — 999)

1The Met: Live in HD - Manon Lescaut (2016)$1,770,000--900--$1,967$1,770,0001Fathom Events
2The Other Side of the Door$1,211,210--546--$2,218$1,211,2101Fox
3The Lady in the Van$717,445-39%429-173$1,672$7,116,00614Sony Pictures Classics
4Ride Along 2$706,660-53%607-334$1,164$89,504,5258Universal
5The Big Short$503,566-50%314-229$1,604$69,352,68313Paramount
6Room (2015)$461,605-20%56535$817$14,161,50221A24
7Hail, Caesar!$433,205-64%313-646$1,384$29,233,5955Universal
8The Boy$401,212-55%339-333$1,184$35,129,7707STX Entertainment
9Brooklyn$379,666-49%287-190$1,323$37,212,78818Fox Searchlight
10Měi Rén Yú (The Mermaid)$375,963-46%10629$3,547$2,678,7323Sony
11Zoolander 2$367,168-84%407-1567$902$28,321,6354Paramount
12The 5th Wave$361,197-58%339-249$1,065$33,639,4187Sony / Columbia
13Daddy's Home$341,132-38%286-83$1,193$148,870,83711Paramount
14The Boy and the Beast$274,247--123--$2,230$274,2471FUNimation Films
15The Finest Hours$259,970-40%218-289$1,193$26,766,6516Disney
16Where to Invade Next$228,617-37%150-62$1,524$2,971,0464Drafthouse Films
17The Good Dinosaur$197,465-33%232-18$851$122,513,86415Disney
18The Choice$192,087-77%337-723$570$18,459,5755Lionsgate
19Neerja$171,478-63%100-21$1,715$1,535,2343Fox International Productions
20Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Road Chip$167,469-27%218-26$768$85,040,99712Fox
21Son of Saul$150,94516%18029$839$1,524,58212Sony Pictures Classics
2213 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi$148,471-51%211-109$704$52,516,9658Paramount
23Dirty Grandpa$138,500-54%217-145$638$35,378,0257Lionsgate
2445 Years$100,030-58%102-108$981$3,966,26411IFC Films / Sundance Selects
25Norm of the North$89,951-28%177-63$508$16,948,5858Lionsgate

Platform (1 — 99)

1Embrace of the Serpent$70,573-30%232$3,068$303,7113Oscilloscope
2Busco Novio Para Mi Mujer$69,603-81%79-278$881$1,654,3623Lionsgate / Pantelion
3Knight of Cups$60,551--4--$15,138$60,5511Broad Green Pictures
4The Wave (2016)$60,321--33--$1,828$60,3211Magnolia Pictures
5Fifty Shades of Black$52,780-60%75-80$704$11,519,1266Open Road
6Only Yesterday (2016 re-issue)$52,570-15%2812$1,878$200,39910GKIDS
7Carol$47,298-60%55-147$860$12,609,58416Weinstein Company
8Concussion (2015)$42,106252%9369$453$34,485,47111Sony / Columbia
9The Danish Girl$37,865-32%51-16$742$11,074,00115Focus
10The 2016 Oscar Nominated Short Films$34,707-85%35-141$992$2,764,3366ShortsHD
11The Forest$34,625-50%57-44$607$26,544,3629Focus / Gramercy
13The Hateful Eight$29,966-47%44-33$681$53,643,03711Weinstein Company
14Spectre$29,75729%63-29$472$199,890,64218Sony / Columbia
16Mustang$23,550-30%21-6$1,121$760,92216Cohen Media Group
18Dough$20,945-31%7-2$2,992$224,3774Menemsha Films
19The Martian$20,255-34%25-31$810$228,416,20223Fox
20Trapped (2016)$17,626--3--$5,875$17,6261Abramorama / Ro*Co
21Bridge of Spies$16,710-47%29-67$576$72,306,06521Disney / DreamWorks
22Colliding Dreams$16,438--4--$4,110$16,4381International Film Circuit
23Hubble 3D$15,809-26%90$1,757$51,259,024312Warner Bros. / IMAX
24Youth (2015)$12,81820%14-5$916$2,698,50914Fox Searchlight
25Rams$7,91650%80$990$82,5945Cohen Media Group
26The Monkey King 2 in 3D$7,785-71%3-7$2,595$693,1735China Lion Film
27Cemetery of Splendor$7,780--2--$3,890$7,7801Strand Releasing
28A War$7,346-75%17-13$432$96,1544Magnolia Pictures
29King Georges$6,516-57%62$1,086$26,5802IFC Films / Sundance Selects
30Late Spring (2016 re-issue)$6,456--1--$6,456$6,4561Janus Films
31The Peanuts Movie$5,671-51%34-6$167$130,128,63218Fox
32Chimes at Midnight (2016 re-issue)$5,434--2--$2,717$114,04710Janus Films
33Ingrid Bergman in Her Own Words$4,371-9%4-1$1,093$122,89117Rialto Pictures
34Songs My Brothers Taught Me$3,430--1--$3,430$6,1801Kino Lorber
35Mountains May Depart$3,083-13%10$3,083$25,2264Kino Lorber
36Under the Sea 3D$3,044-18%30$1,015$34,867,761369Warner Bros. / IMAX
37Aferim!$2,960-18%84$370$81,8307Big World Pictures
38Heart of a Dog$2,86411%3-1$955$412,67420Abramorama
39In the Shadow of Women$2,451-10%30$817$46,7548Distrib Films
40of Mind and Music$2,44716213%21$1,224$4,5574Monterey Media
41Theeb$1,993-67%3-9$664$271,05618Film Movement
42White Lies$1,740--2--$870$1,7401ArtMattan Productions
43Boy and the World$1,728-79%13-13$133$124,55813GKIDS
44Janis: Little Girl Blue$1,552-13%20$776$387,64315FilmRise
45Island of Lemurs: Madagascar$1,519-28%62$253$10,554,448101Warner Bros. / IMAX
46Born to Be Wild 3D$1,24941%5-1$250$24,525,396257Warner Bros. / IMAX
47Touched With Fire$1,065-91%3-17$355$146,0704Roadside Attractions
48Mekong Hotel$999--1--$999$9991Strand Releasing
49To the Arctic 3D$963-32%10$963$14,416,637203Warner Bros. / IMAX
50Eisenstein in Guanajuato$849163%31$283$25,8155Strand Releasing
51Deep Sea 3D$718-43%1-4$718$46,169,895523Warner Bros. / IMAX
52The Forbidden Room$473--1--$473$34,04322Kino Lorber
53Jafar Panahi's Taxi$314--1--$314$318,40223Kino Lorber
54Rabin, The Last Day$214--2--$107$19,5176Kino Lorber
55River of Fundament$112--1--$112$27,91514International Film Circuit