Weekend Estimates: 'The Boss' ($23.48M) & 'Batman v Superman' ($23.44M) in Tight Race for First Place; 'Hardcore Henry' ($5.10M) Arrives SoftlyApril 10, 2016 09:42 AM

by Daniel Garris

It was an extremely close race between Universal's The Boss and Warner's Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice for first place this weekend. The Boss is currently estimated to come out ahead with $23.48 million, but with an estimated lead of only $45,000, either film could ultimately end up in first place this weekend.

Regardless of whether or not it ends up in first place this weekend, The Boss outpaced expectations and performed well with its modest price tag in mind. The Melissa McCarthy led R-rated comedy also proved to be critic-proof this weekend. The film's opening weekend performance was 9 percent ahead of the $21.58 million opening weekend of 2014's Tammy (though it should be noted that Tammy's opening weekend take was softened by a Wednesday debut) and 19 percent below the $29.09 million debut of last year's Spy (it should be noted that The Boss had been widely expected to open below Spy). With this weekend's performance of The Boss, McCarthy continues to remain one of the more consistent box office draws in recent years. McCarthy will next appear in Sony's Ghostbusters, which arrives on July 15.

The Boss started out with $8.11 million on Friday (which included an estimated $985,000 from Thursday night shows), increased a healthy 20 percent on Saturday to take in $9.73 million and is estimated to decline 42 percent on Sunday to gross $5.64 million. That gave the film an estimated opening weekend to Friday ratio of 2.90 to 1. The Boss skewed heavily toward female moviegoers (67 percent) and slightly towards moviegoers under the age of 35 (51 percent). Audience reception to The Boss appears to be lackluster as the film received a C+ rating on CinemaScore and current has a Flixster audience score of just 50 percent. With that in mind, it's quite possible that The Boss won't hold up as well going forward as McCarthy's previous hits have. On the other hand, the film's mentioned strong Saturday hold is an early encouraging sign.

After leading the box office for the past two weeks Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice fell to a close second place this weekend with an estimated $23.44 million. The blockbuster 3D superhero film starring Ben Affleck and Henry Cavill continued to fall off sharply, as the film was down 54 percent from last weekend. Batman v Superman is now on the verge of reaching the $300 million domestic mark with a 17-day take of $296.69 million. However, as a result of its soft holding power thus far, Batman v Superman is now running just 1 percent ahead of the $294.51 million 17-day take of last year's Furious 7 (which fell 51 percent in its third weekend to gross $29.16 million). With that in mind, Batman v Superman will soon fall behind the pace of Furious 7, especially with Disney's highly anticipated The Jungle Book entering the marketplace this coming Friday.

While Batman v Superman continued to decline sharply this weekend, Disney's Zootopia continued to display strong holding power with an estimated third place take of $14.35 million. The blockbuster 3D computer animated film was down just 26 percent from last weekend. Without taking into account ticket price inflation, Zootopia registered the eighth largest sixth weekend gross of all-time. Zootopia is also on the verge of reaching the $300 million domestic mark with a 38-day take of $296.01 million. The film is now running just 8 percent behind the $320.39 million 38-day take of last year's Inside Out and will continue to make up ground in that comparison going forward. Zootopia already has a current total gross to opening weekend ratio of 3.94 to 1.

Universal's My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 placed in fourth with an estimated $6.42 million. The PG-13 rated comedy sequel starring and written by Nia Vardalos was down 43 percent, as the film took a hit from the debut The Boss this weekend. My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 continues to perform towards the higher end of expectations with a 17-day take of $46.75 million. That places the film 6 percent behind the $49.59 million 17-day gross of last year's The Intern (which fell just 26 percent in its third weekend to take in $8.68 million). My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 will hope to re-stabilize next weekend with the debut of The Boss behind it.

Hardcore Henry rounded out the weekend's top five with an estimated $5.10 million. The low-budget action film from STX Entertainment opened below pre-release expectations and delivered a lackluster per-location average of $1,690 from just 3,015 locations. The trailer for Hardcore Henry had gone over well, especially online, but that reception ultimately failed to get moviegoers to see the film this weekend. Hardcore Henry delivered the lowest debut for STX Entertainment to date in the distributor's young history. The film opened with $2.01 million on Friday (which included an estimated $380,000 from Thursday night shows), declined a concerning 7 percent on Saturday to gross $1.87 million and is estimated to slide 35 percent on Sunday to take in $1.22 million. That places the film's estimated opening weekend to Friday ratio at a fairly front-loaded 2.54 to 1. Much like The Boss, Hardcore Henry doesn't appear to be going over all that well with moviegoers. Hardcore Henry also received a C+ rating on CinemaScore and has a respectable current Flixster audience score of 66 percent.

Faith-based films Miracles from Heaven and God's Not Dead 2 claimed sixth and seventh place with respective estimated takes of $4.80 million and $4.05 million. Sony's Miracles from Heaven was down a very solid 34 percent this weekend, while God's Not Dead 2 was down a sizable 47 percent. Miracles from Heaven passed the $50 million mark this weekend and continues to perform nicely with $53.81 million in 26 days. God's Not Dead 2 has been far less impressive with $13.84 million in ten days and clearly isn't duplicating the word of mouth or the performance of its predecessor, 2014's God's Not Dead, which grossed $21.75 million in its first ten days after falling just 4.5 percent in its second weekend to take in $8.80 million.

Weekend Actuals (Domestic) Fri, Oct. 7 - Sun, Oct. 9

Wide (1000+)

1The Girl on the Train (2016)$24,536,265--3,144--$7,804$24,536,2651Universal
2Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculiar Children$15,141,789-48%3,705183$4,087$51,195,2722Fox
3Deepwater Horizon$11,527,027-43%3,2590$3,537$38,295,4152Lionsgate / Summit
4The Magnificent Seven (2016)$9,011,682-42%3,69622$2,438$75,777,0753Sony / Columbia
5Storks$8,294,309-38%3,608-314$2,299$49,962,8033Warner Bros.
6The Birth of a Nation (2016)$7,004,254--2,105--$3,327$7,004,2541Fox Searchlight
7Middle School: The Worst Years of My Life$6,878,437--2,822--$2,437$6,878,4371CBS Films / Lionsgate
8Sully$5,010,340-39%3,058-659$1,638$113,225,7725Warner Bros.
9Masterminds (2016)$4,078,715-38%3,0420$1,341$12,767,0402Relativity Studios
10Queen of Katwe$1,627,313-35%1,25917$1,293$5,393,9493Disney
11Don't Breathe$1,379,646-42%1,066-587$1,294$86,951,0017Sony / TriStar
12Sausage Party$471,424148%1,071841$440$97,325,5759Sony / Columbia

Limited (100 — 999)

1Suicide Squad$1,123,640-41%972-666$1,156$322,547,56410Warner Bros.
2Bridget Jones's Baby$843,880-64%915-1140$922$22,804,5754Universal
3Snowden$743,170-62%787-1034$944$20,206,2484Open Road
4Blair Witch$518,292-67%668-1160$776$20,197,6014Lionsgate
5Premam$448,129--112--$4,001$522,3481Blue Sky Cinema
6When the Bough Breaks$443,687-63%460-441$965$29,309,5675Sony / Screen Gems
7The Secret Life of Pets$340,695-23%339-122$1,005$365,389,63014Universal
8Finding Dory$327,182124%20768$1,581$484,761,75017Disney
9Voiceless$292,438--100--$2,924$292,4381ArtAffects Entertainment
10M.S. Dhoni: The Untold Story$282,034-75%233-23$1,210$1,617,3512FIP
11Hell or High Water$242,916-52%275-245$883$26,207,3589CBS Films / Lionsgate
12The Dressmaker$237,369-35%17415$1,364$1,040,6703Broad Green Pictures
13Kubo and the Two Strings$231,653-51%251-275$923$47,125,7018Focus
14No Manches Frida$204,301-46%138-118$1,480$11,211,4456Lionsgate / Pantelion
15Bad Moms$190,855-60%265-294$720$112,871,69411STX Entertainment
16Ghostbusters (2016)$176,857-22%171-31$1,034$127,960,61213Sony / Columbia
17The Beatles: Eight Days a Week - The Touring Years$168,563-47%120-35$1,405$2,384,7464Abramorama
18Pete's Dragon (2016)$165,253-48%224-216$738$74,994,3849Disney
19Star Trek Beyond$132,423-37%191-89$693$158,658,42812Paramount
20Jason Bourne$127,875-40%186-129$688$161,912,47011Universal
21War Dogs$104,265-16%1759$596$42,920,3848Warner Bros.
22The Wild Life (2016)$91,81378%16414$560$7,965,6095Lionsgate / Summit
23Nine Lives (2016)$79,805101%11454$700$19,544,49610EuropaCorp Films
24Ice Age: Collision Course$71,161-37%125-26$569$63,942,65312Fox
25The Light Between Oceans$45,823-62%101-75$454$12,368,6216Disney / DreamWorks

Platform (1 — 99)

1Denial$218,909134%3126$7,062$347,1482Bleeker Street
2I Belonged to You$168,591-46%49-1$3,441$601,3902China Lion Entertainment
3Operation Mekong$161,68890%17-8$9,511$344,8872Well Go USA
4A Man Called Ove$99,44482%2819$3,552$183,1652Music Box Films
5American Honey$77,9509%2521$3,118$174,5002A24
6A Beautiful Planet$77,1252%32-2$2,410$6,549,98624IMAX
7Don't Think Twice$56,095-43%50-24$1,122$4,229,84612The Film Arcade
8Mechanic: Resurrection$55,900-40%68-70$822$21,025,2507Lionsgate / Summit
9Mil Jeong (Age of Shadows)$50,596-54%20-11$2,530$476,7563Grimm Pictures Harbin Films
10Spirit of the Game$45,580--24--$1,899$45,5801Samuel Goldwyn / Purdie Distribution
11Florence Foster Jenkins$43,122-56%72-56$599$27,249,9119Paramount
12Hillsong - Let Hope Rise$30,288-34%36-51$841$2,359,9924
13Hunt for the Wilderpeople$28,728-40%39-14$737$5,137,20116The Orchard
14Harry & Snowman$23,000-60%12-6$1,917$102,1642FilmRise
15Captain Fantastic$22,757-39%26-17$875$5,803,65614Bleecker Street
16The Greasy Strangler$22,500--11--$2,045$22,5001FilmRise
17Asura: The City of Madness$21,253--2--$10,627$21,2531CJ Entertainment
18The BFG$20,886-57%40-46$522$55,472,66515Disney / DreamWorks
19Greater$19,970-38%28-13$713$1,925,9407Hammond Entertainment
20The Hollars$17,840-80%40-157$446$963,8317Sony Pictures Classics
21Girl Asleep$17,021--23--$740$26,5613Oscilloscope Laboratories
22Sand Storm$15,247123%64$2,541$38,0732Kino Lorber
23Under the Shadow$13,565--14--$969$13,5651Vertical Entertainment
24The Battle Of Algiers (50th Anniversary)$13,536--3--$4,512$13,5361Rialto
25Indignation$13,127-40%13-10$1,010$3,365,23811Roadside / Summit
26Little Men (2016)$9,936-52%19-2$523$666,66610Magnolia Pictures
27Being 17$8,838--2--$4,419$8,8381Strand Releasing
28Mia Madre$8,462-22%171$498$282,7837Music Box Films
29White Girl$8,219-36%2-3$4,110$190,8736FilmRise
30Equity$7,515-41%9-9$835$1,586,05811Sony Pictures Classics
31Ixcanul$7,417-60%10-7$742$226,9878Kino Lorber
32Generation Startup$7,101213%10$7,101$20,9443Long Shot Factory
33Cameraperson$6,855-29%71$979$63,5965Janus Films
34Hieronymus Bosch: Touched By The Devil$6,288-22%4-5$1,572$135,92011Kino Lorber
35Mike & Dave Need Wedding Dates$6,033-18%15-6$402$46,007,11314Fox
36Southside with You$5,843-59%13-17$449$6,286,3237Roadside / Miramax
37Mr. Church$5,555-71%12-37$463$680,1584Freestyle Releasing
38Blue Jay$5,159--1--$5,159$5,1591The Orchard
39Theo Who Lived$4,990--1--$4,990$4,9901Zeitgeist Films
40Closet Monster$4,781-43%63$797$27,0023Strand Releasing
41As I Open My Eyes$4,60157%53$920$24,0535Kino Lorber
42Hillary's America - The Secret History of the Democratic Party$4,49192%3833$118$13,096,53513D’Souza Entertainment Quality Flix
43Demon$4,368-72%12-12$364$92,3955The Orchard The Orchard
44Lo and Behold: Reveries of the Connected World$3,576-64%6-10$596$580,3348Magnolia Pictures
45The Lovers and the Despot$3,444-76%5-8$689$48,0713Magnolia Pictures
46Born to Be Wild 3D$3,3717%72$482$24,963,871288Warner Bros. / IMAX
47Danny Says$3,088-73%7-9$441$34,1892Magnolia Pictures
48Author: The JT Leroy Story$3,074-24%14-5$220$80,9625Magnolia Pictures
49The Hollow$2,848--12--$237$2,8481Uncork'd Entertainment
50Our Little Sister$2,846-44%80$356$442,18514Sony Pictures Classics
51Island of Lemurs: Madagascar$2,5605853%32$853$10,671,626132Warner Bros. / IMAX
52Train To Busan$2,526-81%4-6$632$2,034,90312 Inc. Well Go USA
53The Disappointments Room$2,434-35%4-6$609$2,405,8535Relativity Studios
54Victor$2,130-83%1-9$2,130$99,6324CanZion Films
55Hands of Stone$1,611-91%13-40$124$4,711,2167The Weinstein Company
56My King$1,00670%20$503$49,9599Film Movement
57Saturday's Warrior$887-7%4-3$222$752,19028Purdie Distribution
58Eat That Question$841-40%1-2$841$352,53116Sony Pictures Classics
59Cock and Bull$785-63%20$393$82,2154China Lion Film
60The Best Democracy Money Can Buy: A Tale of Billionaires & Ballot Bandits$752-90%2-2$376$22,3123Cinema Libre Studio
61Dark Horse (2016)$749--5--$150$922,97423Sony Pictures Classics
62Other People$692-78%2-2$346$91,0895Vertical Entertainment
63New World Order$580-28%10$580$5,7543Indican Pictures
64Homeland: Iraq Year Zero$560--1--$560$5601Kino Lorber
65Among the Believers$533-72%10$533$3,7172First Run Features
66My Love, Don’t Cross That River$495215%21$248$86,12817
67Miss Sharon Jones!$474-61%2-1$237$119,88711Starz Digital
68Is That a Gun in Your Pocket?$426-94%1-6$426$39,3614Area23a
69Made In France$420-69%10$420$6,4843Distrib Films Under the Milky Way
70Under the Sea 3D$148--2--$74$35,095,262400Warner Bros. / IMAX
71The Last Film Festival$147-94%30$49$3,2414Monterey Media
72A Beautiful Now$12-85%1-1$12$1,5326Monterey Media