Grosses

Weekend Estimates: 'The Boss' ($23.48M) & 'Batman v Superman' ($23.44M) in Tight Race for First Place; 'Hardcore Henry' ($5.10M) Arrives SoftlyApril 10, 2016 09:42 AM

by Daniel Garris

It was an extremely close race between Universal's The Boss and Warner's Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice for first place this weekend. The Boss is currently estimated to come out ahead with $23.48 million, but with an estimated lead of only $45,000, either film could ultimately end up in first place this weekend.

Regardless of whether or not it ends up in first place this weekend, The Boss outpaced expectations and performed well with its modest price tag in mind. The Melissa McCarthy led R-rated comedy also proved to be critic-proof this weekend. The film's opening weekend performance was 9 percent ahead of the $21.58 million opening weekend of 2014's Tammy (though it should be noted that Tammy's opening weekend take was softened by a Wednesday debut) and 19 percent below the $29.09 million debut of last year's Spy (it should be noted that The Boss had been widely expected to open below Spy). With this weekend's performance of The Boss, McCarthy continues to remain one of the more consistent box office draws in recent years. McCarthy will next appear in Sony's Ghostbusters, which arrives on July 15.

The Boss started out with $8.11 million on Friday (which included an estimated $985,000 from Thursday night shows), increased a healthy 20 percent on Saturday to take in $9.73 million and is estimated to decline 42 percent on Sunday to gross $5.64 million. That gave the film an estimated opening weekend to Friday ratio of 2.90 to 1. The Boss skewed heavily toward female moviegoers (67 percent) and slightly towards moviegoers under the age of 35 (51 percent). Audience reception to The Boss appears to be lackluster as the film received a C+ rating on CinemaScore and current has a Flixster audience score of just 50 percent. With that in mind, it's quite possible that The Boss won't hold up as well going forward as McCarthy's previous hits have. On the other hand, the film's mentioned strong Saturday hold is an early encouraging sign.

After leading the box office for the past two weeks Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice fell to a close second place this weekend with an estimated $23.44 million. The blockbuster 3D superhero film starring Ben Affleck and Henry Cavill continued to fall off sharply, as the film was down 54 percent from last weekend. Batman v Superman is now on the verge of reaching the $300 million domestic mark with a 17-day take of $296.69 million. However, as a result of its soft holding power thus far, Batman v Superman is now running just 1 percent ahead of the $294.51 million 17-day take of last year's Furious 7 (which fell 51 percent in its third weekend to gross $29.16 million). With that in mind, Batman v Superman will soon fall behind the pace of Furious 7, especially with Disney's highly anticipated The Jungle Book entering the marketplace this coming Friday.

While Batman v Superman continued to decline sharply this weekend, Disney's Zootopia continued to display strong holding power with an estimated third place take of $14.35 million. The blockbuster 3D computer animated film was down just 26 percent from last weekend. Without taking into account ticket price inflation, Zootopia registered the eighth largest sixth weekend gross of all-time. Zootopia is also on the verge of reaching the $300 million domestic mark with a 38-day take of $296.01 million. The film is now running just 8 percent behind the $320.39 million 38-day take of last year's Inside Out and will continue to make up ground in that comparison going forward. Zootopia already has a current total gross to opening weekend ratio of 3.94 to 1.

Universal's My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 placed in fourth with an estimated $6.42 million. The PG-13 rated comedy sequel starring and written by Nia Vardalos was down 43 percent, as the film took a hit from the debut The Boss this weekend. My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 continues to perform towards the higher end of expectations with a 17-day take of $46.75 million. That places the film 6 percent behind the $49.59 million 17-day gross of last year's The Intern (which fell just 26 percent in its third weekend to take in $8.68 million). My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 will hope to re-stabilize next weekend with the debut of The Boss behind it.

Hardcore Henry rounded out the weekend's top five with an estimated $5.10 million. The low-budget action film from STX Entertainment opened below pre-release expectations and delivered a lackluster per-location average of $1,690 from just 3,015 locations. The trailer for Hardcore Henry had gone over well, especially online, but that reception ultimately failed to get moviegoers to see the film this weekend. Hardcore Henry delivered the lowest debut for STX Entertainment to date in the distributor's young history. The film opened with $2.01 million on Friday (which included an estimated $380,000 from Thursday night shows), declined a concerning 7 percent on Saturday to gross $1.87 million and is estimated to slide 35 percent on Sunday to take in $1.22 million. That places the film's estimated opening weekend to Friday ratio at a fairly front-loaded 2.54 to 1. Much like The Boss, Hardcore Henry doesn't appear to be going over all that well with moviegoers. Hardcore Henry also received a C+ rating on CinemaScore and has a respectable current Flixster audience score of 66 percent.

Faith-based films Miracles from Heaven and God's Not Dead 2 claimed sixth and seventh place with respective estimated takes of $4.80 million and $4.05 million. Sony's Miracles from Heaven was down a very solid 34 percent this weekend, while God's Not Dead 2 was down a sizable 47 percent. Miracles from Heaven passed the $50 million mark this weekend and continues to perform nicely with $53.81 million in 26 days. God's Not Dead 2 has been far less impressive with $13.84 million in ten days and clearly isn't duplicating the word of mouth or the performance of its predecessor, 2014's God's Not Dead, which grossed $21.75 million in its first ten days after falling just 4.5 percent in its second weekend to take in $8.80 million.

Weekend Actuals (Domestic) Fri, Jan. 20 - Sun, Jan. 22

Wide (1000+)

#TitleweekendLocationsAvg.TotalWks.Dist.
1Split$40,010,975--3,038--$13,170$40,010,9751Universal
2xXx: The Return of Xander Cage$20,130,142--3,651--$5,514$20,130,1421Paramount
3Hidden Figures$15,721,606-25%3,416130$4,602$83,710,3575Fox
4Sing (2016)$9,003,780-37%3,193-500$2,820$249,328,9755Universal
5La La Land$8,427,583-42%1,86517$4,519$89,758,0807Lionsgate / Summit
6Rogue One: A Star Wars Story$7,210,470-46%2,603-559$2,770$512,376,0336Disney
7Monster Trucks$7,072,602-35%3,1190$2,268$22,684,1562Paramount
8Patriots Day$5,753,016-50%3,1200$1,844$23,392,9615CBS Films / Lionsgate
9Sleepless$3,453,212-59%1,8030$1,915$14,940,1162Open Road
10The Bye Bye Man$3,430,655-75%2,2200$1,545$19,990,2852STX Entertainment
11The Founder$3,404,102--1,115--$3,053$3,405,3681Weinstein Company
12Moana$2,695,781-37%1,296-551$2,080$236,970,4839Disney
13Passengers$2,247,012-58%1,556-891$1,444$94,480,2005Sony / Columbia
14Underworld: Blood Wars$1,738,855-72%1,466-1604$1,186$28,649,8143Sony / Screen Gems
15Live By Night$1,718,017-66%2,8220$609$9,385,3665Warner Bros.
16Silence$1,166,271-41%1,580833$738$5,174,9725Paramount
17Why Him?$1,146,894-68%1,034-943$1,109$58,012,3525Fox

Limited (100 — 999)

#TitleweekendLocationsAvg.TotalWks.Dist.
1Lion$1,765,427-23%5750$3,070$16,347,9579Weinstein Company
220th Century Women$1,385,337338%650621$2,131$2,311,9784A24
3Fences$1,214,742-56%693-649$1,753$48,714,4266Paramount
4The Resurrection of Gavin Stone$1,206,771--890--$1,356$1,206,7711BH Tilt
5Manchester By the Sea$948,910-51%543-183$1,748$38,897,40610Roadside / Amazon
6Moonlight (2016)$593,851-46%489-93$1,214$15,786,23214A24
7Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them$430,343-54%302-200$1,425$231,708,33510Warner Bros.
8Jackie$379,428-49%239-114$1,588$11,282,2688Fox Searchlight
9Assassin's Creed$337,796-76%323-645$1,046$53,820,7525Fox
10Trolls$336,179-19%243-19$1,383$152,378,01812Fox / DreamWorks Animation
11Arrival$321,411-42%180-67$1,786$95,671,04311Paramount
12Doctor Strange$134,795-35%132-30$1,021$231,480,17512Disney
13Elle (2016)$110,064-59%143-66$770$1,586,30011Sony Pictures Classics
14Office Christmas Party$82,734-28%139-2$595$54,730,9477Paramount / DreamWorks
15Collateral Beauty$80,749-60%121-133$667$30,702,0016Warner Bros. / New Line
16Hacksaw Ridge$78,148-42%125-47$625$65,489,58612Lionsgate
17Allied$53,637-46%120-54$447$40,069,0879Paramount

Platform (1 — 99)

#TitleweekendLocationsAvg.TotalWks.Dist.
1Dangal$196,177-47%62-33$3,164$12,204,3605UTV Motion Pictures
2Paterson$130,48631%3824$3,434$546,9834Bleecker Street
3Julieta$91,513-25%4011$2,288$673,1495Sony Pictures Classics
4The Eagle Huntress$67,102-30%74-8$907$2,742,63512Sony Pictures Classics
5Neruda$45,7446%238$1,989$342,0526The Orchard
6Master$43,410-52%12-11$3,618$547,5574CJ Entertainment
7Nocturnal Animals$35,110-50%43-11$817$10,639,11410Focus
8OK Jaanu$33,782-85%50-71$676$345,8722FIP
9Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculiar Children$33,001-29%76-8$434$87,203,12417Fox
10Toni Erdmann$27,091-27%61$4,515$262,1685Sony Pictures Classics
11The Red Turtle$21,010--3--$7,003$38,6341Sony Pictures Classics
12A Monster Calls$20,183-96%42-1471$481$3,730,9825Focus
13Loving$16,422-46%33-8$498$7,696,09812Focus
14Some Like It Hot (Qing Sheng)$16,249-62%4-6$4,062$82,1242China Lion Film
15Saving Banksy$15,2601059%54$3,052$17,3352Parade Deck Films
16Worlds Apart$11,858-27%21$5,929$36,8652Cinema Libre Studio
17Ocean Waves$10,72826%9-8$1,192$66,4714GKIDS
18Things To Come$9,382--15--$625$335,9298IFC Films
19Tampopo$7,677183%10$7,677$211,46814Janus Films
20Railroad Tigers$7,551-72%4-9$1,888$213,1853Well Go USA Entertainment
21The Handmaiden$7,405-57%12-3$617$1,968,49414Magnolia Pictures
22Panique (2017 Restoration)$7,062--1--$7,062$7,0621Rialto Pictures
23Sully$6,451-46%28-7$230$125,065,70020Warner Bros.
24Alone in Berlin$4,926--3--$1,642$19,4282IFC Films
25Staying Vertical$4,240--4--$1,060$4,2401Strand Releasing
26My Father Die$3,229--10--$323$3,2291FilmRise
27Harry & Snowman$2,432--2--$1,216$557,96917FilmRise
28The Sunshine Makers$1,874--1--$1,874$1,8741FilmRise
29Trespass Against Us$1,620--20--$81$1,6201A24
30We Are the Flesh$1,46976%30$490$2,8762Cartilage Films
31Starless Dreams$707--1--$707$7071Cinema Guild
32The Lion in Winter (2016 re-release)$692--1--$692$18,1776Rialto Pictures
33Vince Giordano: There’s a Future in the Past$684-89%10$684$11,3092First Run Features
34Harry Benson: Shoot First$655-21%30$218$17,8397Magnolia Pictures
35Mifune: The Last Samurai$601-63%1-2$601$56,6159Strand
36Train To Busan$426--1--$426$2,129,38927 Inc. Well Go USA
37Bad Santa 2$349-92%3-16$116$17,782,0599Broad Green Pictures
38The Ardennes$264-68%20$132$2,6793Film Movement
39Detour$145--5--$29$1451Magnolia Pictures / Magnet Releasing