Weekend Estimates: 'The Boss' ($23.48M) & 'Batman v Superman' ($23.44M) in Tight Race for First Place; 'Hardcore Henry' ($5.10M) Arrives SoftlyApril 10, 2016 09:42 AM

by Daniel Garris

It was an extremely close race between Universal's The Boss and Warner's Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice for first place this weekend. The Boss is currently estimated to come out ahead with $23.48 million, but with an estimated lead of only $45,000, either film could ultimately end up in first place this weekend.

Regardless of whether or not it ends up in first place this weekend, The Boss outpaced expectations and performed well with its modest price tag in mind. The Melissa McCarthy led R-rated comedy also proved to be critic-proof this weekend. The film's opening weekend performance was 9 percent ahead of the $21.58 million opening weekend of 2014's Tammy (though it should be noted that Tammy's opening weekend take was softened by a Wednesday debut) and 19 percent below the $29.09 million debut of last year's Spy (it should be noted that The Boss had been widely expected to open below Spy). With this weekend's performance of The Boss, McCarthy continues to remain one of the more consistent box office draws in recent years. McCarthy will next appear in Sony's Ghostbusters, which arrives on July 15.

The Boss started out with $8.11 million on Friday (which included an estimated $985,000 from Thursday night shows), increased a healthy 20 percent on Saturday to take in $9.73 million and is estimated to decline 42 percent on Sunday to gross $5.64 million. That gave the film an estimated opening weekend to Friday ratio of 2.90 to 1. The Boss skewed heavily toward female moviegoers (67 percent) and slightly towards moviegoers under the age of 35 (51 percent). Audience reception to The Boss appears to be lackluster as the film received a C+ rating on CinemaScore and current has a Flixster audience score of just 50 percent. With that in mind, it's quite possible that The Boss won't hold up as well going forward as McCarthy's previous hits have. On the other hand, the film's mentioned strong Saturday hold is an early encouraging sign.

After leading the box office for the past two weeks Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice fell to a close second place this weekend with an estimated $23.44 million. The blockbuster 3D superhero film starring Ben Affleck and Henry Cavill continued to fall off sharply, as the film was down 54 percent from last weekend. Batman v Superman is now on the verge of reaching the $300 million domestic mark with a 17-day take of $296.69 million. However, as a result of its soft holding power thus far, Batman v Superman is now running just 1 percent ahead of the $294.51 million 17-day take of last year's Furious 7 (which fell 51 percent in its third weekend to gross $29.16 million). With that in mind, Batman v Superman will soon fall behind the pace of Furious 7, especially with Disney's highly anticipated The Jungle Book entering the marketplace this coming Friday.

While Batman v Superman continued to decline sharply this weekend, Disney's Zootopia continued to display strong holding power with an estimated third place take of $14.35 million. The blockbuster 3D computer animated film was down just 26 percent from last weekend. Without taking into account ticket price inflation, Zootopia registered the eighth largest sixth weekend gross of all-time. Zootopia is also on the verge of reaching the $300 million domestic mark with a 38-day take of $296.01 million. The film is now running just 8 percent behind the $320.39 million 38-day take of last year's Inside Out and will continue to make up ground in that comparison going forward. Zootopia already has a current total gross to opening weekend ratio of 3.94 to 1.

Universal's My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 placed in fourth with an estimated $6.42 million. The PG-13 rated comedy sequel starring and written by Nia Vardalos was down 43 percent, as the film took a hit from the debut The Boss this weekend. My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 continues to perform towards the higher end of expectations with a 17-day take of $46.75 million. That places the film 6 percent behind the $49.59 million 17-day gross of last year's The Intern (which fell just 26 percent in its third weekend to take in $8.68 million). My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 will hope to re-stabilize next weekend with the debut of The Boss behind it.

Hardcore Henry rounded out the weekend's top five with an estimated $5.10 million. The low-budget action film from STX Entertainment opened below pre-release expectations and delivered a lackluster per-location average of $1,690 from just 3,015 locations. The trailer for Hardcore Henry had gone over well, especially online, but that reception ultimately failed to get moviegoers to see the film this weekend. Hardcore Henry delivered the lowest debut for STX Entertainment to date in the distributor's young history. The film opened with $2.01 million on Friday (which included an estimated $380,000 from Thursday night shows), declined a concerning 7 percent on Saturday to gross $1.87 million and is estimated to slide 35 percent on Sunday to take in $1.22 million. That places the film's estimated opening weekend to Friday ratio at a fairly front-loaded 2.54 to 1. Much like The Boss, Hardcore Henry doesn't appear to be going over all that well with moviegoers. Hardcore Henry also received a C+ rating on CinemaScore and has a respectable current Flixster audience score of 66 percent.

Faith-based films Miracles from Heaven and God's Not Dead 2 claimed sixth and seventh place with respective estimated takes of $4.80 million and $4.05 million. Sony's Miracles from Heaven was down a very solid 34 percent this weekend, while God's Not Dead 2 was down a sizable 47 percent. Miracles from Heaven passed the $50 million mark this weekend and continues to perform nicely with $53.81 million in 26 days. God's Not Dead 2 has been far less impressive with $13.84 million in ten days and clearly isn't duplicating the word of mouth or the performance of its predecessor, 2014's God's Not Dead, which grossed $21.75 million in its first ten days after falling just 4.5 percent in its second weekend to take in $8.80 million.

Daily Domestic Gross Mon, Feb. 19 2018

Wide (1000+)

#TitleMon, Feb. 19 2018LocationsAvg.TotalWks.Dist.
1Black Panther$40,151,729-33%4,020--$9,988$242,155,6801Disney
2Peter Rabbit$5,876,724-4%3,7250$1,578$54,355,4732Sony / Columbia
3Fifty Shades Freed$2,131,575-55%3,7680$566$78,630,5752Universal
4Jumanji: Welcome To The Jungle$2,076,936-23%2,800-336$742$379,693,4719Sony / Columbia
5The Greatest Showman$1,494,079-6%1,936-437$772$155,905,9539Fox
6The 15:17 to Paris$1,337,091-43%3,0420$440$26,670,8232Warner Bros.
7Early Man$1,069,6231%2,494--$429$4,260,1481Lionsgate
8Maze Runner: The Death Cure$643,459-27%1,892-1031$340$54,723,9804Fox
9The Post$449,358-34%1,050-815$428$77,047,364920th Century Fox
10Winchester$413,461-41%1,479-1001$280$22,249,3353Lionsgate / CBS Films
11Samson$313,295-45%1,249--$251$2,255,8641Pure Flix
12But Deliver Us from Evil$7,504--1,120--$7$168,8732Indican Pictures

Limited (100 — 999)

#TitleMon, Feb. 19 2018LocationsAvg.TotalWks.Dist.
1The Shape of Water$394,131-32%957-823$412$53,633,76612Fox Searchlight
2Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri$380,779-28%780-493$488$48,364,52519Fox Searchlight
3Darkest Hour$225,970-29%602-443$375$53,394,85213Focus Features
5I, Tonya$212,876-35%502-586$424$27,224,43811Neon
6Paddington 2$204,81942%393-1036$521$39,481,1716Warner Bros.
7Den of Thieves$182,857-43%730-738$250$43,618,7205STX Entertainment
8Phantom Thread$173,330-33%355-203$488$17,888,1898Focus Features
912 Strong$170,191-40%815-1086$209$44,256,6735Warner Bros.
10Detective Chinatown 2$168,050-31%115--$1,461$872,0971Warner Bros.
11Hostiles$166,570-38%767-1447$217$28,480,9619Entertainment Studios Motion Pictures
12Star Wars: The Last Jedi$158,864-28%351-479$453$618,199,33910Disney
13Lady Bird$153,590-32%407-244$377$46,423,14716A24
142018 Oscar Nominated Short Films$148,597--270--$550$1,895,8402Magnolia Pictures
15Call Me by Your Name$137,315--332--$414$15,014,88713Sony Pictures Classics
17La Boda de Valentina$81,381-61%3310$246$2,154,7832Lionsgate / Pantelion
18Forever My Girl$72,911-37%401-687$182$15,752,5105Roadside Attractions/LD Entertainment
19Pad Man$67,522-47%1520$444$1,412,2292Sony Pictures Releasing International
20Wonder (2017)$57,321-11%193-68$297$131,719,64314Lionsgate
21Molly's Game$43,188-38%170-367$254$28,399,2538STX Entertainment
22Thor: Ragnarok$38,914-39%149-24$261$314,632,73516Disney
23Justice League$27,771-40%144-44$193$228,776,53514Warner Bros.
24Film Stars Don't Die in Liverpool$25,600--107--$239$564,8778Sony Pictures Classics
25Pitch Perfect 3$25,510-44%157-160$162$104,656,4909Universal
26Insidious: The Last Key$22,120-50%169-376$131$67,219,2257Universal
27The Commuter$19,589-46%148-442$132$35,960,8876Lionsgate

Platform (1 — 99)

#TitleMon, Feb. 19 2018LocationsAvg.TotalWks.Dist.
1Monster Hunt 2$65,351-35%69--$947$407,1851Lionsgate
2The Insult$23,030--43--$536$646,4976Cohen Media Group
3A Fantastic Woman$21,724--29--$749$390,2073Sony Pictures Classics
4The Monkey King 3$20,775--34--$611$116,3521Well Go USA Entertainment
5Double Lover$13,952--50--$279$95,9871Cohen Media Group
6Detective K: Secret of the Living Dead$10,140--9--$1,127$40,4281Well Go USA Entertainment
7Faces Places$9,821--13--$755$840,34320Cohen Media Group
8All the Money in the World$9,347-31%37-26$253$24,965,6608Sony / TriStar
9Loveless$7,962--3--$2,654$55,2251Sony Pictures Classics
10The Party$7,479-31%3--$2,493$44,8751Roadside Attractions
11The Florida Project$7,044-11%23-9$306$5,835,16720A24
12Proud Mary$6,208-53%62-149$100$20,776,2066Sony / Screen Gems
13Murder on the Orient Express (2017)$6,137-28%51-43$120$102,789,65615Fox
14The Disaster Artist$2,830-36%23-8$123$21,097,79412New Line / A24
15Golden Exits$2,4973%1110$227$28,1922Vertical Entertainment
16Happy End$2,472--16--$155$265,4049Sony Pictures Classics
17The Square$2,398--9--$266$1,462,37317Magnolia Pictures
18In The Fade$2,290--20--$115$271,3458Magnolia Pictures
19The Wedding Party 2: Destination Dubai$2,27519%1--$2,275$9,7201IronFlix
20Bilal: A New Breed of Hero$1,984-44%16-74$124$486,8353Vertical Entertainment
21Western$1,846-20%1--$1,846$8,5341Cinema Guild
22Mary and The Witch's Flower$1,79420%3-12$598$1,952,8545GKIDS
23First We Take Brooklyn$1,666--2--$833$37,1830
24The Breadwinner$1,58261%166$99$299,27514GKIDS
25The Boy Downstairs$1,475--1--$1,475$7,4701FilmRise
26Nostalgia$1,327-43%3--$442$17,2821Bleecker Street
27Have A Nice Day$1,232--8--$154$52,5674Strand Releasing
28Tehran Taboo$1,227--1--$1,227$17,2331Kino Lorber
29The Female Brain$1,076--26--$41$17,3492IFC Films
30In Between$976--4--$244$59,2347Film Movement
31The Final Year$971--8--$121$187,3605Magnolia Pictures
32Along With the Gods: The Two Worlds$813--3--$271$1,905,3619Well Go USA
33Beuys$649--2--$325$48,2725Kino Lorber
34Big Sonia$533-29%10$533$177,84114Argot Pictures
35Roman J. Israel, Esq.$28899%3-3$96$11,962,71214Sony Pictures
36Tom of Finland$213--1--$213$361,72019Kino Lorber
37Please Stand By$156--1--$156$9,4254Magnolia Pictures
38The Sacrifice (2017 re-release)$147--1--$147$52,88918Kino Lorber
39Till the End of the World$137--1--$137$118,3523China Lion Film
40The Lucky Man$86--1--$86$24,0759Indican Pictures
41Birdboy: The Forgotten Children$84-90%2--$42$38,42210GKIDS
42Ridge Runners$16--1--$16$57,4415Indican Pictures
43Wastelander$16--1--$16$57,4416Indican Pictures
44Thelma$14--10$14$146,20215The Orchard