Weekend Estimates: 'The Boss' ($23.48M) & 'Batman v Superman' ($23.44M) in Tight Race for First Place; 'Hardcore Henry' ($5.10M) Arrives SoftlyApril 10, 2016 09:42 AM

by Daniel Garris

It was an extremely close race between Universal's The Boss and Warner's Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice for first place this weekend. The Boss is currently estimated to come out ahead with $23.48 million, but with an estimated lead of only $45,000, either film could ultimately end up in first place this weekend.

Regardless of whether or not it ends up in first place this weekend, The Boss outpaced expectations and performed well with its modest price tag in mind. The Melissa McCarthy led R-rated comedy also proved to be critic-proof this weekend. The film's opening weekend performance was 9 percent ahead of the $21.58 million opening weekend of 2014's Tammy (though it should be noted that Tammy's opening weekend take was softened by a Wednesday debut) and 19 percent below the $29.09 million debut of last year's Spy (it should be noted that The Boss had been widely expected to open below Spy). With this weekend's performance of The Boss, McCarthy continues to remain one of the more consistent box office draws in recent years. McCarthy will next appear in Sony's Ghostbusters, which arrives on July 15.

The Boss started out with $8.11 million on Friday (which included an estimated $985,000 from Thursday night shows), increased a healthy 20 percent on Saturday to take in $9.73 million and is estimated to decline 42 percent on Sunday to gross $5.64 million. That gave the film an estimated opening weekend to Friday ratio of 2.90 to 1. The Boss skewed heavily toward female moviegoers (67 percent) and slightly towards moviegoers under the age of 35 (51 percent). Audience reception to The Boss appears to be lackluster as the film received a C+ rating on CinemaScore and current has a Flixster audience score of just 50 percent. With that in mind, it's quite possible that The Boss won't hold up as well going forward as McCarthy's previous hits have. On the other hand, the film's mentioned strong Saturday hold is an early encouraging sign.

After leading the box office for the past two weeks Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice fell to a close second place this weekend with an estimated $23.44 million. The blockbuster 3D superhero film starring Ben Affleck and Henry Cavill continued to fall off sharply, as the film was down 54 percent from last weekend. Batman v Superman is now on the verge of reaching the $300 million domestic mark with a 17-day take of $296.69 million. However, as a result of its soft holding power thus far, Batman v Superman is now running just 1 percent ahead of the $294.51 million 17-day take of last year's Furious 7 (which fell 51 percent in its third weekend to gross $29.16 million). With that in mind, Batman v Superman will soon fall behind the pace of Furious 7, especially with Disney's highly anticipated The Jungle Book entering the marketplace this coming Friday.

While Batman v Superman continued to decline sharply this weekend, Disney's Zootopia continued to display strong holding power with an estimated third place take of $14.35 million. The blockbuster 3D computer animated film was down just 26 percent from last weekend. Without taking into account ticket price inflation, Zootopia registered the eighth largest sixth weekend gross of all-time. Zootopia is also on the verge of reaching the $300 million domestic mark with a 38-day take of $296.01 million. The film is now running just 8 percent behind the $320.39 million 38-day take of last year's Inside Out and will continue to make up ground in that comparison going forward. Zootopia already has a current total gross to opening weekend ratio of 3.94 to 1.

Universal's My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 placed in fourth with an estimated $6.42 million. The PG-13 rated comedy sequel starring and written by Nia Vardalos was down 43 percent, as the film took a hit from the debut The Boss this weekend. My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 continues to perform towards the higher end of expectations with a 17-day take of $46.75 million. That places the film 6 percent behind the $49.59 million 17-day gross of last year's The Intern (which fell just 26 percent in its third weekend to take in $8.68 million). My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 will hope to re-stabilize next weekend with the debut of The Boss behind it.

Hardcore Henry rounded out the weekend's top five with an estimated $5.10 million. The low-budget action film from STX Entertainment opened below pre-release expectations and delivered a lackluster per-location average of $1,690 from just 3,015 locations. The trailer for Hardcore Henry had gone over well, especially online, but that reception ultimately failed to get moviegoers to see the film this weekend. Hardcore Henry delivered the lowest debut for STX Entertainment to date in the distributor's young history. The film opened with $2.01 million on Friday (which included an estimated $380,000 from Thursday night shows), declined a concerning 7 percent on Saturday to gross $1.87 million and is estimated to slide 35 percent on Sunday to take in $1.22 million. That places the film's estimated opening weekend to Friday ratio at a fairly front-loaded 2.54 to 1. Much like The Boss, Hardcore Henry doesn't appear to be going over all that well with moviegoers. Hardcore Henry also received a C+ rating on CinemaScore and has a respectable current Flixster audience score of 66 percent.

Faith-based films Miracles from Heaven and God's Not Dead 2 claimed sixth and seventh place with respective estimated takes of $4.80 million and $4.05 million. Sony's Miracles from Heaven was down a very solid 34 percent this weekend, while God's Not Dead 2 was down a sizable 47 percent. Miracles from Heaven passed the $50 million mark this weekend and continues to perform nicely with $53.81 million in 26 days. God's Not Dead 2 has been far less impressive with $13.84 million in ten days and clearly isn't duplicating the word of mouth or the performance of its predecessor, 2014's God's Not Dead, which grossed $21.75 million in its first ten days after falling just 4.5 percent in its second weekend to take in $8.80 million.

Daily Domestic Gross Thu, Mar. 1 2018

Wide (1000+)

#TitleThu, Mar. 1 2018LocationsAvg.TotalWks.Dist.
1Black Panther$6,607,691-4%4,0200$1,644$435,400,0372Disney
2Game Night$1,265,065-6%3,488--$363$22,827,7661Warner Bros.
3Annihilation$822,636-9%2,012--$409$14,986,7421Paramount Pictures
4Peter Rabbit$587,1154%3,707-18$158$74,060,3763Sony / Columbia
5Fifty Shades Freed$552,865-8%3,265-503$169$92,289,4603Universal
6Jumanji: Welcome To The Jungle$325,362-1%2,519-281$129$388,701,35310Sony / Columbia
7The 15:17 to Paris$264,942-13%2,752-290$96$33,548,2163Warner Bros.
8The Greatest Showman$260,761-2%1,601-335$163$161,941,44310Fox
9Every Day$141,264-8%1,667--$85$3,700,8041Orion Pictures
10Early Man$91,193-2%2,4940$37$7,252,4492Lionsgate
11Samson$79,476-11%1,140-109$70$4,132,0892Pure Flix

Limited (100 — 999)

#TitleThu, Mar. 1 2018LocationsAvg.TotalWks.Dist.
1Kirk Cameron: Connect$433,162--757--$572$802,3400Fathom Events
2The Shape of Water$154,325-4%721-236$214$56,130,06913Fox Searchlight
3Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri$145,2324%691-89$210$50,888,42820Fox Searchlight
4The Post$139,0914%795-255$175$79,458,2361020th Century Fox
5Phantom Thread$108,260-9%651296$166$19,534,1649Focus Features
6Darkest Hour$102,655-7%795193$129$54,854,21714Focus Features
7I, Tonya$74,684-4%423-79$177$28,389,09212Neon
8Lady Bird$67,4707%601194$112$47,753,12617A24
9Winchester$58,041-14%852-627$68$24,028,8384Lionsgate / CBS Films
10Maze Runner: The Death Cure$56,543-22%952-940$59$56,624,2115Fox
11Hostiles$39,001-9%418-349$93$29,306,33910Entertainment Studios Motion Pictures
12Star Wars: The Last Jedi$33,665-2%292-59$115$618,863,63611Disney
13Den of Thieves$30,429-26%357-373$85$44,470,3276STX Entertainment
1512 Strong$27,407-9%448-367$61$45,020,7626Warner Bros.
16Detective Chinatown 2$25,291-3%111-4$228$1,657,0562Warner Bros.
17Molly's Game$17,4170%104-66$167$28,664,8039STX Entertainment
19Wonder (2017)$15,4907%158-35$98$132,000,17015Lionsgate
20Forever My Girl$13,8340%218-183$63$16,083,8976Roadside Attractions/LD Entertainment
21La Boda de Valentina$13,823-10%141-190$98$2,580,6083Lionsgate / Pantelion
22The Commuter$11,522-6%138-10$83$36,166,3007Lionsgate
23Paddington 2$10,8389%281-112$39$39,846,0627Warner Bros.
24Thor: Ragnarok$9,65325%131-18$74$314,847,24517Disney
25Pitch Perfect 3$7,2906%135-22$54$104,810,31010Universal
26Insidious: The Last Key$5,95515%110-59$54$67,347,8958Universal
27Justice League$5,91420%137-7$43$228,911,72415Warner Bros.
28The Lodgers$205-73%170--$1$6,9501

Platform (1 — 99)

#TitleThu, Mar. 1 2018LocationsAvg.TotalWks.Dist.
1The Party$9,419-3%3027$314$189,5642Roadside Attractions
2Monster Hunt 2$8,037-1%55-14$146$649,1482Lionsgate
3Pad Man$5,967-25%95-57$63$1,635,4023Sony Pictures Releasing International
4All the Money in the World$5,251-3%30-7$175$25,023,0859Sony / TriStar
5Proud Mary$3,5074%7412$47$20,843,9607Sony / Screen Gems
6The Young Karl Marx$2,760-29%3--$920$40,7441The Orchard
7Mary and The Witch's Flower$2,621-93%30$874$2,341,9476GKIDS
8Nostalgia$2,03921%1613$127$44,2382Bleecker Street
9The Florida Project$1,829-31%21-2$87$5,863,43421A24
10The Disaster Artist$1,68650%12-11$141$21,113,26313New Line / A24
11The Breadwinner$775135%160$48$307,87115GKIDS
12Mind Game$764--2--$382$7,5862GKIDS
13Western$6581%10$658$20,4222Cinema Guild
14Bob Le Flambeur$53088%2--$265$12,0468Rialto Pictures
15El Mar La Mar$41021%1--$410$6,0401Cinema Guild
16Big Sonia$31276%21$156$183,28315Argot Pictures
17Golden Exits$301-52%3-8$100$39,6883Vertical Entertainment
18Are We Not Cats$154-7%2--$77$5,5181Cleopatra Entertainment
19Thelma$132--1--$132$146,33416The Orchard
20Bilal: A New Breed of Hero$80--6-10$13$490,9734Vertical Entertainment
21BPM (Beats Per Minute)$833%3--$3$115,90419The Orchard