Weekend Estimates: 'The Boss' ($23.48M) & 'Batman v Superman' ($23.44M) in Tight Race for First Place; 'Hardcore Henry' ($5.10M) Arrives SoftlyApril 10, 2016 09:42 AM

by Daniel Garris

It was an extremely close race between Universal's The Boss and Warner's Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice for first place this weekend. The Boss is currently estimated to come out ahead with $23.48 million, but with an estimated lead of only $45,000, either film could ultimately end up in first place this weekend.

Regardless of whether or not it ends up in first place this weekend, The Boss outpaced expectations and performed well with its modest price tag in mind. The Melissa McCarthy led R-rated comedy also proved to be critic-proof this weekend. The film's opening weekend performance was 9 percent ahead of the $21.58 million opening weekend of 2014's Tammy (though it should be noted that Tammy's opening weekend take was softened by a Wednesday debut) and 19 percent below the $29.09 million debut of last year's Spy (it should be noted that The Boss had been widely expected to open below Spy). With this weekend's performance of The Boss, McCarthy continues to remain one of the more consistent box office draws in recent years. McCarthy will next appear in Sony's Ghostbusters, which arrives on July 15.

The Boss started out with $8.11 million on Friday (which included an estimated $985,000 from Thursday night shows), increased a healthy 20 percent on Saturday to take in $9.73 million and is estimated to decline 42 percent on Sunday to gross $5.64 million. That gave the film an estimated opening weekend to Friday ratio of 2.90 to 1. The Boss skewed heavily toward female moviegoers (67 percent) and slightly towards moviegoers under the age of 35 (51 percent). Audience reception to The Boss appears to be lackluster as the film received a C+ rating on CinemaScore and current has a Flixster audience score of just 50 percent. With that in mind, it's quite possible that The Boss won't hold up as well going forward as McCarthy's previous hits have. On the other hand, the film's mentioned strong Saturday hold is an early encouraging sign.

After leading the box office for the past two weeks Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice fell to a close second place this weekend with an estimated $23.44 million. The blockbuster 3D superhero film starring Ben Affleck and Henry Cavill continued to fall off sharply, as the film was down 54 percent from last weekend. Batman v Superman is now on the verge of reaching the $300 million domestic mark with a 17-day take of $296.69 million. However, as a result of its soft holding power thus far, Batman v Superman is now running just 1 percent ahead of the $294.51 million 17-day take of last year's Furious 7 (which fell 51 percent in its third weekend to gross $29.16 million). With that in mind, Batman v Superman will soon fall behind the pace of Furious 7, especially with Disney's highly anticipated The Jungle Book entering the marketplace this coming Friday.

While Batman v Superman continued to decline sharply this weekend, Disney's Zootopia continued to display strong holding power with an estimated third place take of $14.35 million. The blockbuster 3D computer animated film was down just 26 percent from last weekend. Without taking into account ticket price inflation, Zootopia registered the eighth largest sixth weekend gross of all-time. Zootopia is also on the verge of reaching the $300 million domestic mark with a 38-day take of $296.01 million. The film is now running just 8 percent behind the $320.39 million 38-day take of last year's Inside Out and will continue to make up ground in that comparison going forward. Zootopia already has a current total gross to opening weekend ratio of 3.94 to 1.

Universal's My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 placed in fourth with an estimated $6.42 million. The PG-13 rated comedy sequel starring and written by Nia Vardalos was down 43 percent, as the film took a hit from the debut The Boss this weekend. My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 continues to perform towards the higher end of expectations with a 17-day take of $46.75 million. That places the film 6 percent behind the $49.59 million 17-day gross of last year's The Intern (which fell just 26 percent in its third weekend to take in $8.68 million). My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 will hope to re-stabilize next weekend with the debut of The Boss behind it.

Hardcore Henry rounded out the weekend's top five with an estimated $5.10 million. The low-budget action film from STX Entertainment opened below pre-release expectations and delivered a lackluster per-location average of $1,690 from just 3,015 locations. The trailer for Hardcore Henry had gone over well, especially online, but that reception ultimately failed to get moviegoers to see the film this weekend. Hardcore Henry delivered the lowest debut for STX Entertainment to date in the distributor's young history. The film opened with $2.01 million on Friday (which included an estimated $380,000 from Thursday night shows), declined a concerning 7 percent on Saturday to gross $1.87 million and is estimated to slide 35 percent on Sunday to take in $1.22 million. That places the film's estimated opening weekend to Friday ratio at a fairly front-loaded 2.54 to 1. Much like The Boss, Hardcore Henry doesn't appear to be going over all that well with moviegoers. Hardcore Henry also received a C+ rating on CinemaScore and has a respectable current Flixster audience score of 66 percent.

Faith-based films Miracles from Heaven and God's Not Dead 2 claimed sixth and seventh place with respective estimated takes of $4.80 million and $4.05 million. Sony's Miracles from Heaven was down a very solid 34 percent this weekend, while God's Not Dead 2 was down a sizable 47 percent. Miracles from Heaven passed the $50 million mark this weekend and continues to perform nicely with $53.81 million in 26 days. God's Not Dead 2 has been far less impressive with $13.84 million in ten days and clearly isn't duplicating the word of mouth or the performance of its predecessor, 2014's God's Not Dead, which grossed $21.75 million in its first ten days after falling just 4.5 percent in its second weekend to take in $8.80 million.

Daily Domestic Gross Sat, Sep. 15 2018

Wide (1000+)

#TitleSat, Sep. 15 2018LocationsAvg.TotalWks.Dist.
1The Predator$8,394,521-19%4,037--$2,079$18,697,5801Fox
2The Nun$7,658,70430%3,8760$1,976$80,439,3182Warner Bros.
3A Simple Favor$6,306,5876%3,102--$2,033$12,263,0311Lionsgate
4Crazy Rich Asians$3,802,79551%3,385-480$1,123$147,178,5515Warner Bros.
5White Boy Rick$3,159,662-9%2,504--$1,262$6,628,6961Sony / Studio 8
6Peppermint$2,668,39056%2,9800$895$22,556,7772STX Entertainment
7The Meg$1,773,40069%2,851-660$622$136,104,2226Warner Bros.
8Searching$1,368,52236%2,0090$681$18,797,0624Sony Pictures
9Mission: Impossible - Fallout$1,101,62980%1,761-573$626$215,533,3108Paramount
10Disney's Christopher Robin$1,021,622114%1,902-616$537$94,493,2367Disney
11Unbroken: Path to Redemption$856,6615%1,620--$529$1,673,6841Pure Flix
12Operation Finale$517,42244%1,472-346$352$16,022,7473MGM
13Alpha$469,76381%1,534-987$306$34,070,8625Sony / Columbia
14God Bless the Broken Road$175,47726%1,201-71$146$2,285,0252Freestyle Releasing

Limited (100 — 999)

#TitleSat, Sep. 15 2018LocationsAvg.TotalWks.Dist.
1HBO Boxing: Canelo Alvarez vs. Gennady Golovkin II$707,875--533--$1,328$707,8751Fathom Events
2BlacKkKlansman$581,23562%942-605$617$45,590,3306Focus Features
3Moses$415,845--673--$618$1,515,4411Fathom Events
4Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation$369,282172%673-339$549$165,011,17812Sony / Columbia
5Incredibles 2$365,739140%710-736$515$605,387,20014Disney
6Dragon Ball Z: Broly - The Legendary Super Saiyan$355,753--681--$522$355,7531Fathom Events
7Ant-Man and the Wasp$185,96983%356-192$522$215,305,44311Disney
8Slender Man$166,26456%402-581$414$30,188,5536Sony / Screen Gems
9Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again$161,23080%455-159$354$119,626,7509Universal Pictures
10Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom$135,69078%320-259$424$416,211,98513Universal
11Juliet, Naked$123,57551%265-202$466$2,937,0055Roadside Attractions / Lionsgate
12Mile 22$104,80940%413-1389$254$35,442,9655STX Entertainment
13The Equalizer 2$89,87442%268-378$335$101,956,9359Sony / Columbia
14Ya Veremos$78,62619%254-115$310$3,667,1983Lionsgate / Pantelion Films
15Teen Titans GO! to the Movies$74,126117%241-57$308$29,261,9038Warner Bros.
16The Happytime Murders$61,08152%310-1529$197$20,560,8684STX Entertainment
17Eighth Grade$35,57268%101-75$352$13,396,59010A24
18The Spy Who Dumped Me$35,04750%157-50$223$33,431,4607Lionsgate
19Skyscraper$34,21084%118-35$290$67,659,77510Universal Pictures
20Where Hands Touch$28,60959%103--$278$46,5921Vertical Entertainment
21A.X.L.$26,387147%110-445$240$6,359,3184Global Road Entertainment
22Kin (2018)$12,07930%116-2025$104$5,659,0443Lionsgate / Summit
23Pope Francis - A Man of His Word$8,67049%327--$27$1,951,30018Focus Features

Platform (1 — 99)

#TitleSat, Sep. 15 2018LocationsAvg.TotalWks.Dist.
1Three Identical Strangers$49,81683%95-37$524$12,060,07312Neon
2Pick of the Litter$35,07855%3323$1,063$145,0793IFC Films
3Blaze$27,14616%360$754$326,6785IFC Films / Sundance Selects
4Sorry To Bother You$24,52850%47-25$522$17,337,69211Annapurna Pictures
5Lizzie$18,2227%4--$4,556$35,3161Saban Films / Roadside Attractions
6Ocean's 8$15,47647%89-39$174$139,352,07915Warner Bros.
7The Darkest Minds$12,73758%57-22$223$12,654,777720th Century Fox
8Leave No Trace$11,90838%76-18$157$5,974,66912Bleeker Street
9We The Animals$11,85556%486$247$329,6445The Orchard
10Dog Days$8,748-15%51-32$172$6,791,0386LD Entertainment / Mirror
11The Dawn Wall$8,47335%2--$4,237$14,7681The Orchard
12The Children Act$8,45472%3--$2,818$13,3611A24
13Little Italy$7,05365%42-29$168$964,7214Lionsgate Premiere
14Deadpool 2$6,48361%21-16$309$318,479,39218Fox
15Solo: A Star Wars Story$6,09692%40-22$152$213,759,03217Disney
16The Riot Act$5,455-70%9--$606$23,7751Hannover House
17Sicario: Day of the Soldado$4,99240%26-14$192$50,061,22812Sony / Black Label
18McQueen$3,64241%12-3$304$1,231,1489Bleecker Street
19Hale County This Morning, This Evening$2,587-29%2--$1,294$6,2111Cinema Guild
20When You Read This Letter$2,35895%1--$2,358$5,4511Rialto
21Beautifully Broken$1,34970%12-40$112$1,181,9894ArtAffects Entertainment
22The Fall of The American Empire$1,10130%6-6$184$2,046,17012Sony Pictures Classics
23Death of a Nation$1,07942%10-48$108$5,871,8857Quality Flix / Pure Flix
24Perfect Blue (2018 re-release)$754-65%3-488$251$419,6052GKIDS
25The Night Is Short, Walk On Girl$522407%3-1$174$397,1434GKIDS
26En el Séptimo Día$324168%1--$324$75,16715Cinema Guild
27Rendezvous in July$153--1--$153$11,3217Rialto Pictures
28Whitney$133533%3-2$44$3,025,98511Roadside Attractions
29Far From The Tree$129-16%4-3$32$156,0289IFC Films / Sundance Selects