Weekend Estimates: 'The Boss' ($23.48M) & 'Batman v Superman' ($23.44M) in Tight Race for First Place; 'Hardcore Henry' ($5.10M) Arrives SoftlyApril 10, 2016 09:42 AM

by Daniel Garris

It was an extremely close race between Universal's The Boss and Warner's Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice for first place this weekend. The Boss is currently estimated to come out ahead with $23.48 million, but with an estimated lead of only $45,000, either film could ultimately end up in first place this weekend.

Regardless of whether or not it ends up in first place this weekend, The Boss outpaced expectations and performed well with its modest price tag in mind. The Melissa McCarthy led R-rated comedy also proved to be critic-proof this weekend. The film's opening weekend performance was 9 percent ahead of the $21.58 million opening weekend of 2014's Tammy (though it should be noted that Tammy's opening weekend take was softened by a Wednesday debut) and 19 percent below the $29.09 million debut of last year's Spy (it should be noted that The Boss had been widely expected to open below Spy). With this weekend's performance of The Boss, McCarthy continues to remain one of the more consistent box office draws in recent years. McCarthy will next appear in Sony's Ghostbusters, which arrives on July 15.

The Boss started out with $8.11 million on Friday (which included an estimated $985,000 from Thursday night shows), increased a healthy 20 percent on Saturday to take in $9.73 million and is estimated to decline 42 percent on Sunday to gross $5.64 million. That gave the film an estimated opening weekend to Friday ratio of 2.90 to 1. The Boss skewed heavily toward female moviegoers (67 percent) and slightly towards moviegoers under the age of 35 (51 percent). Audience reception to The Boss appears to be lackluster as the film received a C+ rating on CinemaScore and current has a Flixster audience score of just 50 percent. With that in mind, it's quite possible that The Boss won't hold up as well going forward as McCarthy's previous hits have. On the other hand, the film's mentioned strong Saturday hold is an early encouraging sign.

After leading the box office for the past two weeks Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice fell to a close second place this weekend with an estimated $23.44 million. The blockbuster 3D superhero film starring Ben Affleck and Henry Cavill continued to fall off sharply, as the film was down 54 percent from last weekend. Batman v Superman is now on the verge of reaching the $300 million domestic mark with a 17-day take of $296.69 million. However, as a result of its soft holding power thus far, Batman v Superman is now running just 1 percent ahead of the $294.51 million 17-day take of last year's Furious 7 (which fell 51 percent in its third weekend to gross $29.16 million). With that in mind, Batman v Superman will soon fall behind the pace of Furious 7, especially with Disney's highly anticipated The Jungle Book entering the marketplace this coming Friday.

While Batman v Superman continued to decline sharply this weekend, Disney's Zootopia continued to display strong holding power with an estimated third place take of $14.35 million. The blockbuster 3D computer animated film was down just 26 percent from last weekend. Without taking into account ticket price inflation, Zootopia registered the eighth largest sixth weekend gross of all-time. Zootopia is also on the verge of reaching the $300 million domestic mark with a 38-day take of $296.01 million. The film is now running just 8 percent behind the $320.39 million 38-day take of last year's Inside Out and will continue to make up ground in that comparison going forward. Zootopia already has a current total gross to opening weekend ratio of 3.94 to 1.

Universal's My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 placed in fourth with an estimated $6.42 million. The PG-13 rated comedy sequel starring and written by Nia Vardalos was down 43 percent, as the film took a hit from the debut The Boss this weekend. My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 continues to perform towards the higher end of expectations with a 17-day take of $46.75 million. That places the film 6 percent behind the $49.59 million 17-day gross of last year's The Intern (which fell just 26 percent in its third weekend to take in $8.68 million). My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 will hope to re-stabilize next weekend with the debut of The Boss behind it.

Hardcore Henry rounded out the weekend's top five with an estimated $5.10 million. The low-budget action film from STX Entertainment opened below pre-release expectations and delivered a lackluster per-location average of $1,690 from just 3,015 locations. The trailer for Hardcore Henry had gone over well, especially online, but that reception ultimately failed to get moviegoers to see the film this weekend. Hardcore Henry delivered the lowest debut for STX Entertainment to date in the distributor's young history. The film opened with $2.01 million on Friday (which included an estimated $380,000 from Thursday night shows), declined a concerning 7 percent on Saturday to gross $1.87 million and is estimated to slide 35 percent on Sunday to take in $1.22 million. That places the film's estimated opening weekend to Friday ratio at a fairly front-loaded 2.54 to 1. Much like The Boss, Hardcore Henry doesn't appear to be going over all that well with moviegoers. Hardcore Henry also received a C+ rating on CinemaScore and has a respectable current Flixster audience score of 66 percent.

Faith-based films Miracles from Heaven and God's Not Dead 2 claimed sixth and seventh place with respective estimated takes of $4.80 million and $4.05 million. Sony's Miracles from Heaven was down a very solid 34 percent this weekend, while God's Not Dead 2 was down a sizable 47 percent. Miracles from Heaven passed the $50 million mark this weekend and continues to perform nicely with $53.81 million in 26 days. God's Not Dead 2 has been far less impressive with $13.84 million in ten days and clearly isn't duplicating the word of mouth or the performance of its predecessor, 2014's God's Not Dead, which grossed $21.75 million in its first ten days after falling just 4.5 percent in its second weekend to take in $8.80 million.

Weekend domestic gross

WeekendTop 10 GrossChg. LW%Total GrossChg. LW% Top movie of the week
01 (Jan 01 - Jan 03)$198,537,624--$219,495,335--Star Wars: The Force Awakens
02 (Jan 08 - Jan 10)$142,912,699-28%$159,281,940-27%Star Wars: The Force Awakens
03 (Jan 15 - Jan 17)$145,502,2322%$168,129,0206%Ride Along 2
04 (Jan 22 - Jan 24)$95,736,903-34%$113,587,718-32%The Revenant (2015)
05 (Jan 29 - Jan 31)$118,353,83324%$139,073,10822%Kung Fu Panda 3
06 (Feb 05 - Feb 07)$75,395,999-36%$95,490,065-31%Kung Fu Panda 3
07 (Feb 12 - Feb 14)$215,810,637186%$238,982,635150%Deadpool
08 (Feb 19 - Feb 21)$121,119,706-44%$141,756,984-41%Deadpool
09 (Feb 26 - Feb 28)$91,278,176-25%$112,266,397-21%Deadpool
10 (Mar 04 - Mar 06)$142,568,98956%$163,183,93145%Zootopia
11 (Mar 11 - Mar 13)$118,186,835-17%$135,069,129-17%Zootopia
12 (Mar 18 - Mar 20)$115,774,645-2%$131,132,663-3%Zootopia
13 (Mar 25 - Mar 27)$243,491,430110%$252,175,69792%Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice
14 (Apr 01 - Apr 03)$118,559,272-51%$130,785,037-48%Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice
15 (Apr 08 - Apr 10)$91,145,188-23%$105,012,730-20%The Boss
16 (Apr 15 - Apr 17)$165,029,41381%$177,976,40269%The Jungle Book (2016)
17 (Apr 22 - Apr 24)$117,626,464-29%$128,102,141-28%The Jungle Book (2016)
18 (Apr 29 - May 01)$96,937,478-18%$109,371,074-15%The Jungle Book (2016)
19 (May 06 - May 08)$232,395,976140%$239,261,008119%Captain America: Civil War
20 (May 13 - May 15)$123,025,320-47%$130,629,144-45%Captain America: Civil War
21 (May 20 - May 22)$128,324,7534%$136,920,3805%The Angry Birds Movie
22 (May 27 - May 29)$157,294,62823%$163,989,61220%X-Men: Apocalypse
23 (Jun 03 - Jun 05)$123,684,021-21%$134,789,077-18%Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows
24 (Jun 10 - Jun 12)$139,567,24813%$152,611,99113%The Conjuring 2
25 (Jun 17 - Jun 19)$223,184,76060%$232,901,23153%Finding Dory
26 (Jun 24 - Jun 26)$177,111,633-21%$188,417,386-19%Finding Dory
27 (Jul 01 - Jul 03)$179,579,2581%$190,372,7001%Finding Dory
28 (Jul 08 - Jul 10)$205,989,67715%$217,480,40814%The Secret Life of Pets
29 (Jul 15 - Jul 17)$151,409,743-26%$163,071,578-25%The Secret Life of Pets
30 (Jul 22 - Jul 24)$178,420,95518%$195,912,16220%Star Trek Beyond
31 (Jul 29 - Jul 31)$174,855,310-2%$190,032,238-3%Jason Bourne
32 (Aug 05 - Aug 07)$217,747,18225%$228,737,41820%Suicide Squad
33 (Aug 12 - Aug 14)$153,823,583-29%$171,400,130-25%Suicide Squad
34 (Aug 19 - Aug 21)$112,417,199-27%$132,069,849-23%Suicide Squad
35 (Aug 26 - Aug 28)$91,226,565-19%$117,287,730-11%Don't Breathe
36 (Sep 02 - Sep 04)$66,887,892-27%$99,119,841-15%Don't Breathe
37 (Sep 09 - Sep 11)$80,346,71120%$100,777,8862%Sully
38 (Sep 16 - Sep 18)$71,090,385-12%$89,833,406-11%Sully
39 (Sep 23 - Sep 25)$92,840,34431%$104,096,39116%The Magnificent Seven (2016)
40 (Sep 30 - Oct 02)$102,190,77210%$114,690,67110%Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculiar Children
41 (Oct 07 - Oct 09)$93,110,131-9%$104,089,465-9%The Girl on the Train (2016)
42 (Oct 14 - Oct 16)$84,988,876-9%$97,549,102-6%The Accountant
43 (Oct 21 - Oct 23)$109,125,99428%$124,480,54428%Tyler Perry’s Boo! A Madea Halloween
44 (Oct 28 - Oct 30)$74,204,699-32%$88,251,314-29%Tyler Perry’s Boo! A Madea Halloween
45 (Nov 04 - Nov 06)$180,664,140143%$191,492,752117%Doctor Strange
46 (Nov 11 - Nov 13)$145,898,093-19%$158,361,358-17%Doctor Strange
47 (Nov 18 - Nov 20)$146,558,7550%$157,675,8270%Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
48 (Nov 25 - Nov 27)$170,608,75116%$184,164,22917%Moana